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Mailman

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  1. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... Changes for the late aftn update included the insertion of a freezing rain mention for areas east of I 79 given some initial reports south of I 70 as well as a model trend of strong warm advection support for that scenario. Overnight totals for those areas will likely be degraded a bit given the retardation of dendritic growth. Nevertheless, deformation on Monday will support continued and prolonged snowfall, so snow totals remain the dominant feature of this event. Elsewhere, the expected frontogenetic band with 1-2 inch/hour rates is also likely to be shunted slightly westward and a storm total tweak was completed for that eventuality. Gusty wind is expected to develop in the eastern WV ridges on Monday, and will likely result in blowing snow and lowered visibility.
  2. Well.. at least the NAM lost the historic freezing rain scenario. Now it's a historic dry slot. lol.
  3. Can't say I hold a lot of faith in the CMC; however, it has been consistent with those big totals. 12z might be the biggest yet.
  4. Personally, I am rooting for the 18z RGEM solution to verify.
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