CIK62

Do not forget it took NOAA two years to get KWO 35 back on the air. Also, earlier intermod problems with CG frequencies forced KWO35 off the air except for emergency tone alerts. Yes, the graphics are tighter, more detailed and more colorful, but are they more accurate? Like a more detailed road map that even shows potholes------but shows them in the wrong places. Lol.

The next 8 days are averaging 32degs.(24/39). Making it 27degs., or -8.0. Month to date is missing. Calculated is +0.9. Should be -1.8 by the 27th. All models have T near 60* for Christmas in the midst of otherwise decent lows. Looks wacky. Non gusts winds of 25-35mph. are higher than in our recent snow event. GEFS Extended Control has major snow event slated for Jan. 07th. 23*(67%RH) here at 6am. 32* by 11:15am. 34* by 1pm. 35* at 2pm. 34* at 3pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 31degs.(24/38). Making it 26degs., or -10degs. Month to date is missing. Calculated to date is +1.4. Should be -2.3 by the 26th. 27*(69%RH) here at 6am, partial thin overcast. 31* by Noon. 32* by 12:30pm. Oddly enough, only Christmas and New Years Day look warm over the next 15 days. GEFS T's look OK till the 5-Day period centered on Jan. 10th. CFS hopefully takes over for Feb./Mar. with the super cold it is showing. SD thinks if the La Nina kicks the bucket more rapidly, this could happen.

The next 8 days are averaging 29degs.(21/36). Making it 24degs., or -11. Month to date is Missing. Total Snow as of midnight in Central Park was 6.5". 26*(95%RH) here at 6am. This is down from 33* at 1am. 25* at 7am. 30* by Noon. 32* by 1pm. 33* at 2pm. The only warm weather in the next 15 days is again near Chirstmas, with 2" of rain, which Santa will turn to snow......... Ho Ho Ho! Recent runs.....54,50,38,59 and now again 59degs. But would you settle for a white NYE? EURO's interpretation for the NAO/PNA have them crossing the Nuetral Zone during the last week of the month. Good sign for mischief to happen.

The next 8 days are averaging 29degs.(24/34). Making it 24degs., or -11degs. Month to date is 42.3[+2.4]. Should be 36.0[-2.2] by the 24th. Storm Total Forecast: EURO 16", GFS 14", CMC 12", NAM 13". GFS had type issues on the Cobb Method. GFS is back to 64* on Christmas. Has been varying by 30+ degrees for days. 28* here at 4:30am. 29* (45%RH)(1030.0mb) here at 6am, m. clear. 31*(48%RH)(1028.8mb)at 9am, overcast. 33*(50%RH)(1026.3mb) at Noon. 32*(70%RH)(1023.5mb) at 3pm, snowing. 29*(99%RH)(1019.9mb)moderate, snow, gusts, cars,sidewalks, Surf Ave. are white. TODAY IS THE 60TH ANNIVERSARY [10:30AM] OF THE MID-AIR COLLISION OVER NYC THAT KILLED 134. 11 YEAR OLD STEPHEN BALTZ WAS A TEMPORARY SOLE SURVIVOR. THE SNOW YOU SEE IN THE PHOTOS IS FROM STORM #20 ON THE LIST. https://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/1960-new-york-city-plane-crash-back-gallery-1.1549629

The nascent Vaccine is already about to be challenged by latest strain just found in Wales, GB etc. If it fails........................... Could set world back a year and will have wasted 100's of Billion$. Remember this coronavirus does not let useless mutations continue. It actually checks for errors in the copies it is making-----just like information engineers use mathematical checks on digital data sent over noisy channels. https://www.msn.com/en-gb/health/medical/new-covid-strain-uk-what-are-the-symptoms-of-the-mutated-form-of-the-virus-and-will-the-vaccine-still-work/ar-BB1bWosW

I understand how these trials were conducted and how results were obtained. Did you ask yourself why a third group who actually was exposed (after 6-weeks on the vaccine regiment) to an especially efficacious viral load by being asked to breath this>>> CoVID19-laden-AIR---------was not present? There must be some healthy brave souls out there willing to make $1,000 bucks-----the drug companies are willing to make 100's of Billion$) So now touch this contaminated surface dear fellows and gals and then put your hands near your mouth, up your nose and rub your eyes? The test would be over in three weeks after that and we would know if the vaccines work. Either way we do not know about long term safety-----only that the vaccine can not be used in a Capitol Punishment Execution, it kills too slowly. Why is our government helping China to cover up this gross ratio mismatch. We have more cases in one day than China has had in a year!!! Every two days now we lose more people than they did in a whole year. All that with 1/5th the population. Wake Up! We are a laughing stock of the world. Realize, that in 10 months of exposure 90% of the US population has not fallen ill that we know of-----and they didn't take a vaccine!!! That is almost as good as the subjects that took a test shot. It must be the Masks, and Social Distancing. You think our spy satellites do not know what is happening in China? Look, I am not here to argue. Give me some answers that make sense. If China has a workable vaccine make them share it.

EXPLAIN: China has just 87,000 cases and 4,600 dead in 1 years time. If they were the US they would now have 75,000,000 cases and about 1,800,000 dead; The epidemic started there, they have no vaccinated population to speak of, but we know they all wear masks and tracking must work there also. Our vaccine trials did not give the virus directly to anyone. Remember all 44,000 subjects continued doing every thing the same with masks and social distancing. I conclude the vaccine did not do anything. The vaccinated group fared no better than a random group of Chineese people of the same size. It was the MASKS mostly that protected them in the study. But Mask wearing is going to crash and the virus will explode, except for the benefits of summer solar radiation, heat and higher RH. Where is the flaw in this argument?

The next 8 days are averaging 32degs.(28/37). Making it 27degs., or -9.0. Month to date (still missing). +40/13 = +3.1 to date. Should be about -32/21 = -1.5 by the 22nd. Gotta love that GFS for Christmas: 58,38,42,57,38----last five runs, and last week it was in the 60's. Now with Christmas back at 38* it goes ahead and adds 20 degrees to the 27,28,29,30. Winter Storm Summary(today + Wed./Thurs.) CMC 0" +17" EURO 1" + 16" GFS 0" +8". Non gust winds still 20-25mph. NWS going with GFS and does not have even have a Watch for the City! 18" marker ends near City and goes no further east. 45*(57%RH) here at 6am. 38* by 4pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 34degs.(28/40). Making it 29degs., or -7.0. Month to date ( site still down) Snow Totals summary: EURO 16", GFS 18", CMC 10". Non gust wind speeds still 18-25mph. Monday is a non event except for helping to set up El Gordo. 53*(90%RH) here at 6am. 60* by 1pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 35degs.(30/40). Making it 30degs., or -6.0. Month to date (missing, site down?) Snow totals summary: Mon. + Wed./Thurs. EURO 2.5" + 14.0", CMC 0 0" + 17.0", GFS 0.5" + 13.0". Non gust winds still 18-25mph. Cautions......Two fast movers, borderline S/R for City, but 2"+ to work with. Euro is running between 15-35 for a week. GFS still goes to the 60's on Christmas. With snow still on the ground?! Come on man. >>>>>>> The 06Z just lost 30 degrees on the Highs for 25th,26th. !!! 51*(85%RH) here at 6am, cloudy,drizzle. [Low was 49* at midnight] 54* by 9am.

EPS for Christmas Day (#15) has 32*---45* as the most likely T range. There is no indication of snow near that time either.

The next 8 days are averaging 39degs.(34/44). Making it 34degs , or -3.0. Month to date is 40.3[-0.5]. Should be 37.5[-1.6] by the 19th. Snowstorm outlook on the 17th: EURO 9", GFS 8", CMC 5". Storm looks like it is running to catch the bus. Fast mover. 42*(70%RH) here at 6am, hazy blue. 50* by Noon. 51* at 1pm. 55* at 3pm. Held at 54* till 53* at 7pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 45degs.(39/51). Making it 40degs., or about +3.0. Month to date is -0.7[40.3]. Should be about 40.1[+1.0] by the 18th. GFS has a Trace of snow.*** CMC has none. EURO suffers a nervous breakdown on the 17th. with 17"!!!........CAUTION: The EPS is only 50/50 on Any Snow at this timeframe. ***That was the 0Z, the 06Z is 9"-----sorry this is for the 23rd, but we will take it anyway. Check out the 850mb. setups that are in color and we quickly see that only the EURO is positioned far enough east for snow. Since it stays cold after system passage on EURO, TeleC's must be different too. As an aside, the GEFS Extended still shows a sub-zero NYE. In fact it shows the lowest T here since 1943. 39* (75%RH) at 6am. (Low was 36* at 1am). 42* by 9am. 44* by 10am.

Nice to see that snow for 90mins. Only CMC has (7") here on the 17th, everything else seems zippo throughout their durations. This includes the ensembles. Everybody In the Pool!(outdoors)

Nice snow shower here (Coney Island) at 12:15pm, T 37*. 36* at 12:20pm. 35* at 12:30pm, could be measurable if it continues. Wind is from south. 34* at 12:45pm and snow shower continues. 35* by 3pm, snow ended about 2:15pm, no white anywhere.

The next 8 days are averaging 43degs.(38/47). Making it 38degs., or +1.0. GFS has aTrace of snow today and that is it. CMC, EURO have action around mid-month. GFS heads for 70* near Christmas. GEFS: The only 5-Day period that is even near Normal is centered on the 18th. 35*(65%RH) here at 6am, thin overcast. (It was 33* near midnight). 36* at 9am. 38* by Noon.

Well the eruption was in Mexico and immediately went into the upper atmosphere and caused odd blue skies and sunsets. In addition, the number of nuclei (particulate matter) for snowflakes to coalesce on of course increased greatly. Surely, a favorable pattern was in place prior to this enhancement. The T actually remained below 32* for an unnaturally long period of time. The NWS issued a Blizzard Warning for even NYC at 4am that morning. The next day was sunny and windy with blowing snow at ground level. T was 34* on the 7th.

Not too early to start singing this one: From 1965, with a blurry video to go with it (on the Brooklyn Heights Promenade), from what can be made out in the background. The ROYALETTES version of its "It's Gonna Take A Miracle" .....to make me feel any cold, cause there's no winter I've been told) https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=its+gonna+take+a+miracle%2c+1965&view=detail&mid=3BD932887340011ABBBE3BD932887340011ABBBE&FORM=VIRE0&ru=%2fsearch%3fq%3dits%2bgonna%2btake%2ba%2bmiracle%2C%2b1965%26form%3dQBLH%26sp%3d-1%26pq%3dits%2bgonna%2btake%2ba%2bmiracle%2C%2b1965%26sc%3d0-30%26qs%3dn%26sk%3d%26cvid%3d6957573B61B2405FA29412F1DFA384F4

The next 8 days are averaging 42degs.(37/47). Making it 37degs., or about -1.0. December should be near Normal by the 16th. EURO, GFS have a Trace of snow tomorrow, CMC does not. At any rate, there may be about 4 50's incoming, Thurs. onward. As of today's runs, Albany could have 2' on ground by Christmas, while we are left out. 32*(60%RH) here at 6am, flurries? 31* at 7am, dark clouds. 30* at 8am. 34* at 1pm. 37* at 3pm.

For amusement purposes only: Using the GEFS Extended------- the most extreme members for the Low T's show a first stab at the teen's on Dec. 15, the single digits on Dec. 23, and a sub-zero attempt on New Years Eve. These are not predictions, just the most extreme possibilities. Unfortunately you have to add 40-60 degrees to these to obtain the most extreme High T possible on the same dates. LOL

If you are relying on the EURO for this twerp of a snow event, remember the LR EURO feels that the winter is Over for the entire US. It is AN through the whole winter and unhindered by any Arctic intrusions, which of course it would not indicate in this type of forecast anyway. Probably months with 20-25 Normal to AN number of days and the remainder accidental cold days.

The next 8 days are averaging 42degs.(36/47). Making it 37degs., or about -1.0. EURO has a Trace of snow on the 10th. Other models are zippo all the way. 32*(64%RH) here at 6am. 36* by 10am. 38* by Noon.. 42* by 3pm. 37* by 8pm.

Among the highlights or LOW lights that month in NYC were: 10th. 6 17, 11th. 5 17, 12th. 6 18, 17th 0 19, 18th. 0 15, 22nd. 8 18, 27th 9 25. The April 06 Blizzard was probably triggered by the EL CHICON Volcanic Eruption at the end of March.

The next 8 days are averaging 42degs. (37/47). Making it 37degs., or about -1.0. Unfortunately, it shows 9 50-Degree Days in the next 16, threatening to make December a hoax wintertime month. GFS Extended is a horror show. CFS is AN everywhere in the US for the next 9 months, let alone this one. Scary part was when I realized the T scale was in C! eke! Outside of atmospheric accidents----it is Over. Laugh now, Die later. This summer is part of the 11 year cycle curse 1933,44,55,66,77,88,99,2010,....2021. 38*(60%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 37* at 7am. 36* at 10am. 40* at 3pm.