Upstate Tiger

I remember that happening in the upstate in the late 70s

GSP has issued an Ice Storm Warning for my area in Lincoln County (NC Piedmont).

06z GFS and Euro seemed honed in on the evolution of the storm with GFS still faster. Both show front end snow for NC and then the fun begins. Didn’t check thermals. Got to get to the hospital for storm prep. NAM…IDK what it’s doing.

Lots of below zero readings forecast for western NC.

Absolutely insane cold temps across the Midwest and Northeast this weekend as this storm is occurring. Lots of below zero readings. Been a long time since I’ve seen this kind of cold and it looks locked in for a few weeks.

Wouldn't that cool and moisten the column and potentially give us a better front end thump of snow? I know I'm grasping...

30 straight hours of precip for NC.

Quickly goes over to ice but closer to GFS

Euro with a little front end snow at 60 for NC

Euro and GFS surface reflections look very similar at 54 with timing and precip types.

I knew this thing would correct back to the SE…oh crap. That’s next weekend.

After this cluster I am not looking at any models for next weekend until next Thursday...BTW, Do you happen to have a snowfall map of next weekend?

Given the alternatives, I would prefer what the GFS is showing for NC. More sleet, less freezing rain.

He's probably taking his talking points from the mets at GSP. I was on a regional call this morning with EM, healthcare, utilities etc and the forecasters at GSP were painting a pretty grim picture for this weekend using words like "memorable storm" and "devastating impacts." They seemed pretty concerned. Maybe after Helene they just want everyone to take the threat serious. We're looking at this as amateurs (except the red tags) but those guys GSP are pros and have to make high stakes forecasts.

NAM with precip on NC's doorstep at 15Z Saturday. That's faster onset.