Upstate Tiger

GFS pretty much holds steady. Another wild card is how anomalous this ULL will be. It will overproduce IMO.

Where do I sign?

GSP AFD... https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

CMC, GFS, and NAM all with basically the same evoluation. CMC is best for western members.

Thanks! I had not seen that. Good grief...now we have to worry about a Low in the Bahamas. If there is a way to screw the SE, no matter how crazy, it seems to happen.

I wish one of the mets would explain that Low in the bahamas. GFS has that feature as well. Just shown up in the last day. We are not seeing the earlier phasing or negative tilt we saw at 18z. Probably all noise at this point any way...

Key take away from GSP, “expect model shenanigans to continue”.

Euro with a 968 bomb off the coast. Man that thing explodes.

Good grief the GFS has a 966 bomb off the coast.

NAM with light snow over Mississippi and NC at 60. I know NAM but hey it did pretty well last week.

Pretty concise discussion from GSP... https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off