Upstate Tiger

Yeah I don’t understand why the Euro has consistently been too dry with most systems this winter even when it’s surface is similar to other wetter models.

With the last storm the GFS and CMC did the best for our area. The Euro was always a bit dry.

Euro says "no bueno." Still time though for the MA.

Yeah the GFS buries VA, Eastern Tn., and Mid Atlantic. Some crazy totals in there.

I’ve witnessed some good events in March. March 1, 1978, March 1, 1980, March 24, 1983 (record setter), March 13, 1993, March 1, 2009.

If the 18z happens both Washington and NYC will pass their seasonal averages.

A quick AI search reports Washington Reagan 8.6" with annual seasonal average of 14". NY City has received 21.2" with a 25 year seasonal average of 29". I have measured just over 11" total in Lincoln County this season. My annual average states 5”.

I think it was Carver on the Tennessee forum who said the Euro has been much too dry with its long term forecasts this winter. Looks like a couple of opportunities for a winter storm in the east over the next two of weeks.

The Euro and GFS have two totally different iterations in the long term. GFS wetter and somewhat milder. The Euro is much dryer and colder starting with the frontal passage this weekend. Would at least like to see some decent weekend golfing weather...

It’s hard to know. The last couple of springs have been very cold and they were Nina’s.

I think the wild card is how quickly nino sets up. Nino springs tend to be colder and wetter than average in the SE.

I’m confused. Does this mean the skies have not healed?

It pains me to say this but thank you Tar Heels. If we win tonight, we’re tied for first. That hasn’t happened much during February for us in basketball. Makes me think we actually get another storm or two because anything is apparently possible this year.

Rain and sleet in Gastonia and 47 degrees. Crazy.

Got a dusting last night. If nothing else it coated the brown and black piles. Sitting right at 11” for the season. Hard to complain.