hawkeye_wx

The GFS is the only model showing the phased cutter.  The ICON, Canadian, UK, and Euro all look about the same.

The warmest air aloft is over Iowa today, but the surface temp is lagging yesterday by several degrees.

I'd love to get blasted by a 16" blizzard as much as the next guy, but I don't mind the snowless December or mild Christmas week.  The older I get, the more I feel, "whatever happens, happens".  I'll just enjoy not having to go out in the cold to clean driveways.  At some point we'll get some good snow and cold again, and when we do I'll enjoy that.

00z Euro

12z Euro

12z UK

12z GFS

The 3k NAM is a good two counties south of the 12k NAM.

12z euro

12z UK ... It has light accumulation up to the I-80 corridor, but it's not a vigorous system.

Yes, the UK is a big improvement tonight, although still south of Iowa.  The energy is much sharper as it ejects into the central US.

It hits Kansas and Missouri solidly, then heads ene toward Toledo while weakening some.

The weak clipper dropped 1.3" on my yard this morning.  A few places got up to 2" of fluff.  Models had this subtle system nailed for a few days.

UK is a nothingburger, suppressed south of the subforum.

Euro not on the same planet as GFS as we head toward Xmas.  It shows a very benign pattern.

I picked up 0.3" from the line.  Through November 11th I received 11.1" of snow.  Over the last month I've received 0.7".

2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Did it trigger wx radio?

Don't know.

First-ever snow squall warning has been issued for Cedar Rapids as a thin, but heavy and moves in.  It's really coming down.

1 hour ago, cyclone77 said:

It's kind of funny, we have almost 8" of snow for the season but it really feels like I haven't seen it snow yet in a way.  About 95% of the snow that fell and accumulated fell when it was pitch black out.  Will be looking forward to the first true daytime event.  Even a nice snow shower during the day would be nice.  

This.  While we did see some morning and afternoon snow, the heart of each of our three snow events began in the evening and ended by sunrise.  I swear it works out that way far more often than odds say it should.

I picked up 0.45" of rain and then a band of precip at the very end dropped 0.1" of snow.

I picked up 0.40" of rain.

The Cedar Rapids airport recently gusted to 54 mph, but so far this wind event hasn't felt like anything special.

I'm sure it would feel like a bigger deal if it was also snowing.

Much of tonight's shower and storm activity danced around Cedar Rapids.  I had a few rumbles, but I could not have gotten any less rain... pretty disappointing.

We got off to a record start, snow-wise, but it was inevitable that areas to the north and northwest would surge past us.

00z Euro ... and the other models are very similar.

It's looking like a strong low will track through southeast Iowa on Tuesday.  My area should see mostly rain with a bit of snow on the backside.  Northern Iowa ene-ward could get a nice thump.

Tonight's UK and Euro are well north of previous runs Tuesday/Wednesday.