hawkeye_wx

A band of 2-4 inches of snow fell across northern Iowa overnight... definite over-performer.

12z Euro

Of course, cut the snow totals in half due to lousy ratios and warm ground.

Most models are now showing a strengthening low cutting into the lakes Friday night into Saturday, with a burst of snow from southeast Iowa into Wisconsin.

Today I received 0.20" of rain, followed by 0.7" of snow.  The northwest wind is currently howling.  The wind chill should be close to zero by morning.

11 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

When I see this photo, the movie "Runaway Train" instantly pops into my head.

As models predicted, much of the central Iowa snow dried up as it moved into eastern Iowa.  I finished with 1.1 inches.

My storm total snow is 4.0".  My prediction was 3", so I'm pretty satisfied.  The snow compacted a bit over 13 hours, so I could have measured a bit more if I had cleaned my snow board earlier this evening, before the final bands.

I'm currently at 3.2".  I have a shot at 4" when the lighter backwash pulls through.

4 minutes ago, hardypalmguy said:

MKE up to 39.  Gonna be fun to see what happens.

But the dew is 24º, though.  The temp will crash.

I was also concerned about the 37º temp this morning, but 90 minutes after the precip started I had 1.8" of snow on the ground.  It began piling up immediately.

My total is up to 1.8 after a nice burst of heavy snow.  The rate has lessened quite a bit.  The temp was 37 this morning, but quickly fell to 33 when the heavy snow moved in.  The temp is slowly rising again with the lighter rate.

A few inches is still looking like a decent expectation here.  I doubt the warning area in Iowa will verify.

29 minutes ago, Natester said:

18z HRRR much drier.  Accumulations cut by half.  Depth change shows only a dusting.

The snow rates are not good and the temperature is garbage.  The temp is in the upper 30s in the morning and falls to the mid 30s during the snow.  

Models continue to be all over the place regarding exactly where the best totals (and dry pockets) will be.... northeast Iowa, southern Iowa, through me.  In general, the drying has continued.  This is not a strong low with heavy banding parking over the area.  Models suggest the heavier rates will last a couple hours and then it'll just be light snow.  Combined with iffy temps, in March, I think the safe bet is around 3" here.

While there has been a general weakening/drying trend across the board, the Euro is way drier than all other models (1/3 to 1/2).

Look at this.... the Euro vs GFS, only two days away from the event.  Seriously, wtf?!?

This morning's 12z GFS was way too amped.  It is now much more similar to the other models.

Snow depth change map... looks like a solid March concrete event.

This morning's farther-south GFS is good for my area, but the various snow total maps are wildly different.

10:1 -> 12.3"

Kuchera -> 10.1"

Depth change -> 4.7"

It will likely be more concrete, so the depth change map is likely the most accurate.

Chanhassen: 82.6"

Dang, what a winter up there.  It's going even higher later in the week, too

Minneapolis wins again.  4-7 inches has fallen on the west and sw side of the metro area.

I just got my third brief thunderstorm and second round of pea size hail.  It looks like I finished with about 0.20" of rain.

A tiny thundershower just dropped some pea size hail here.

I'm just very ready for a wet summer again.  I'm tired of the la nina drought summer garbage.

The GFS is undoing yesterday's nw leap.  The op run no longer even touches Iowa.  The upper low just digs too far south and takes too wide of a turn northeast to be of any good for me.  I hope someone can get something decent out of this.

Just now, ILSNOW said:

 

The 10:1 map shows nearly twice as much snow in Cedar Rapids than the Kuchera map does.  That means super wet concrete snow.

GDPS & UK are well southeast, but now the Euro comes in farther nw than any previous run.

11 minutes ago, Stebo said:

I would really be surprised if it backed that far west, it would have to essentially go North from AR.

Yeah, it'll probably end up around the average track and mostly miss me to the southeast.  Honestly, whichever way it goes is fine considering it's nearly spring.