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NC_hailstorm

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Everything posted by NC_hailstorm

  1. NC_hailstorm
    Euro goes neutral about 117-120 and the shortwave is further east.Not a whiff but the timing could be a tick better.
  2. NC_hailstorm
    UKMET goes neutral as well at 114,hammers away.
  3. NC_hailstorm
    CMC goes neutral at 114 also and hammers away.
  4. NC_hailstorm
    GFS goes neutral tilt at 111- 114 and hammers away,good hit.
  5. NC_hailstorm
    Still .50 to .75 to Asheville-GSP now,the .75 to 1.00 moved east of Raleigh though.
  6. NC_hailstorm
    Yes it has 0.5 precip in the foothills almost to Asheville,the 0.75 over toward Raleigh now a big jump.
  7. NC_hailstorm
    Phased bomb on the Euro tonight..good grief.
  8. NC_hailstorm
    Seems like all the models are following Google Boy now.
  9. NC_hailstorm
    B.Panovich said it was 55 degrees up high and 16 degrees at the surface,that's crazy and still held a sleet profile for most of the event.
  10. NC_hailstorm
    Winds coming from the southwest now,sleet and freezing rain hitting the opposite side of the house with wind. Crazy stuff, 22.5
  11. NC_hailstorm
    Heavy sleet here as his big band approaches. 21.4
  12. NC_hailstorm
    I was reading this model with all the new bells and whistles did really well on this current storm 6 days ago.Just a heads up.
  13. NC_hailstorm
    About 1.5'' of snow/sleet out there and 15.8. Still an occasional pinger,
  14. NC_hailstorm
    Started as sleet,now light snow 16.2 Porch covered,road covered.
  15. NC_hailstorm
    So I have 17 inches on the Euro and 10 on the GFS,cooking.
  16. NC_hailstorm
    -Canadian brings the Baja shortwave out,phases too early and is amped up. -GFS misses the phase,colder and a good hit with the shortwave. -UK misses the phase but isn't as cold as the GFS, sleet/snow mix but no cutter this run.
  17. NC_hailstorm
    Looks like the UKMET and the AIGFS are phasing too early over Arizona,giving this a chance to be amped up,delaying the cold press,and letting it cut. If its going to phase it needs to over around the Rio Grande like the 12z Euro.Or you miss the phase and get a storm with either shortwave. Just my opinion.
  18. NC_hailstorm
    Canadian is a tick slower with the cold press,but does eventually go sleet/snow.Still a good thump.
  19. NC_hailstorm
    There's a -4 to -5 AO and a 1045-1050 high,that's most of it in my opinion.
  20. NC_hailstorm
    Wow is that 18 inches here? good god.
  21. NC_hailstorm
    Good grief the Euro is about to drop the big hammer here.
  22. NC_hailstorm
    That's a barrage of hits at day 6/7 and beyond today,coming in from all sides all models.
  23. NC_hailstorm
    Lot of noise,lot of honking in that day 9-10 range.
  24. NC_hailstorm
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd In other words the professionals who get paid for this don't have a clue either,let's just flip a coin then.
  25. NC_hailstorm
    Good grief..... GEFS
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