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FLweather

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Everything posted by FLweather

  1. Yeah really surprised this wasnt brought up earlier after the 12z runs. Both GFS and Canadian onto something? More digging with the southern stream with the Canadian. Ideally would want to see more ridging out west
  2. You have to look at the news source. CNN not to reliable on reporting the truth. That was poor engineering.
  3. Some timing differences on the Canadian and NC could see some snowfall from the UL. If it comes in later. Slow it up about 8 hours early Monday morning instead of Sunday evening. Map below is roughly 7pm. Temps in the 40s west 50s east. Good snow for the mountains.
  4. Huge difference between GFS & Canadian at the surface and h5. Gfs just looks weird on the 12z, almost fropa. Weak wave develops along the front. Chances are it will be gone by 18z.
  5. Need more that that. No blocking, the Pacific a wreck . What else? ...
  6. I wouldn't give up right now. The season still early.
  7. You not the only one. I've heard of a lakes cutter, app runner. But not a coastal cutter. That's still a Miller A or B or hybrid. Tryed to look up Jan 2018. But https://climate.ncsu.edu/tools/wxevents changed and no as informative and in depth as once it was.
  8. Low 70s atm. Since about noon had a fair amount of low top showers. Nuisance stuff. Nothing being picked up by the radar very well. Looks like between now and Monday, will be nickel and dime some where between a .25-.5"
  9. You have the right eye open. But agree. Pattern ahead looks rather stormy. Interesting to say the least. Timeframe looks similar to the 12z Canadian. If we get a couple more of those upper lows in the south. That may cause a pattern change.
  10. Look at the soundings. Come on.. A 34 degree paste job with temps solidly below freezing. Here NW of Orlando. No warm nose from 900mb up through the column. Column shows a saturated from H4 to surface. H9 and above below freezing.
  11. It has. But cant say for sure for the future. My folks remember 77. But as far as gfs goes. With support from Canadian. There is goin to be another cut off low. If you take a blend.
  12. GFS has left rehab. Back on that shyte again.
  13. Looks like a wet night ahead. Already had a couple low top showers. Another one getting ready to come in from the east Radar shows it filling in near Tampa. Let's see how accurate the gfs really is. Last few days been showing a swath of 6-7" near my area.
  14. 12z nam gives a little loving to Grandfather Mountain. That's roughly the location. Then again might be the nam.
  15. Cool morning here today. Low 50s. Seen the rocket launch this morning. Headed E/NE. Some how mechanical glitch happened did a burn about 15 minutes to early.
  16. After looking at euro, Canadian, and nam..... The gfs is off its fooking rocker. I'd rather throw a dart before I believe the goofus anything past 72 hours Wth happen?!
  17. You can pretty well dismiss the GFS as the outlier.
  18. It's a cut off in the SJT. Notice the flow out west on the 500mb chart below. The northern stream and southern stream are together. Then it splits. The northern stream goes into Canada while the southern stream recurves over OK, TX. There is no northern stream interaction(cold air). So no available cold air source to feed into the storm while the moisture is available.
  19. Crazy weather today. High today was near 70 just after midnight. Front came through around 6am and temps fell. Been in the low 50s biggest part of the daylight hours... low clouds and drizzle till 11am. Guess today's low will be recorded at 11:59
  20. Good luck with that. For the last 15-20 yrs the Pacific been wrecking havoc.
  21. Liking the looks of CMC and 6z nam. Looks like a widespread 2-4" rain for much of the SE. Limited severe weather conditions. Not sure what to think about the GFS and its convection issues. Anywho if it is some what correct. Then going to be a little bumpy around here near Orlando.
  22. Pretty rough storms around. Lightning, high winds, heavy rain and small hailstones. Definitely surprised me.
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