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RogueWaves

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    3/3-3/5 IL/IN/OH Snow Potential

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    23 minutes ago, Jackstraw said:

    00Z NAM sounding north central IN at 84 not too shabby.  Upper trough seems a little sharper/deeper. Any northward trends favor the I-70 crew as there will probably be some wipers going back south.  That's a pretty stout ridge to the NW but the orientation is more key in my feeble mind.  What the hell do I know lol :weenie:

    nam_2019022800_084_40.84--85.76.png

     

    I know you are a very brave soul to go out on a long and thin limb to fire-up a thread..may The Force be with you Jackstraw

    • Haha 1

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    6 hours ago, NoDoppler4TnySandz said:

    Lock it in....guaranteed to verify (LMAO)-- such is the life we live during winter, here in Ohio!

    The irony is spot on that you can't help but laugh; particularly with Buckeyes comment...no one is better at getting kicked when they are down than this part of the sub-forum. 

    Can always count on OH peeps for a pick-me-up when I'm feeling down on my winter luck up here in the Mitt ;)

    Fall/Winter 2018-19 Complaint/Banter Thread

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, mimillman said:

    I know there have been some good events, but for some reason it doesn’t feel that way. Perhaps it’s the comparison to areas just north and west, I just feel like we’ve been skipped over, as well as lower Michigan.

    My part of SMI has actually had it worse. That nice stretch from Jan 12 to Feb 1st didn't start here until the 18th, then was promptly washed away a few days later. This Nina-esque pattern here has resembled hard come-easy go vs the more typical easy come-easy go seen with a true Nina. If it wasn't for a rare snowy Nov, I'd be considerably below normal during MET winter.  

    • Like 1

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    4 hours ago, (((Will))) said:

    I had to set alarms every 3-4 hours all night to wake up and make sure the furnace vent wasn't drifted over. It was every single time and so every single time I had to get dressed, crawl out the window with a head lamp and a snow shovel, dig them out and go back in.

    It was insane.

    Now I'm worried about my roof collapsing but I don't have time to clear it for a day or two because I have classes, hw and clinicals all week.

    Umm. But you love it up there and wouldn't have it any other way. Right?

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    33 minutes ago, NEOH said:

    Ohio sucks for big synoptic storms. But we average 100-120”+ inches in the snow belt of northeast Ohio. Much snowier than the rest of the state on average. I always think the same thing about Southwest Michigan.... big lake that rarely freezes yet limited lake effect snow in the southwest corner.

    If only Lk. Michigan were another 80 miles wider, what a difference it would make for the LES. You're right about that!

    February 23-25th Winter Storm

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    18 minutes ago, josh_4184 said:

    Wow, been a crazy 5-6 hours so far, pounding snow and 55mph winds, my county has declared a state of emergency (Otsego) all county roads closed. I75 has been closed in both directions. Some of the worst winter weather I have seen since living up here. Picked up about 7" so far, drifts 5-6'. Still no power. 

     

    Never got the big one in my 7 seasons up there..enjoy the ride!

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

    Make that 1 good SNOW storm. My biggest snowstorm this Winter was 6.1", and it was a nice storm. MET winter has actually been quite active (snow, ice, rollercoaster) since mid Jan. The first half of met winter was train wreck and no snowstorm in the world can make up for that. Im about long steady winters. Getting.a 3 foot snowstorm in march does not erase a brown December. That said....let it snow!

    Agree with you that getting zero snow for 6 wks of MET winter is "inexcusable", nonetheless 4 storms and a couple surprise LES events have managed to find mby so my largest gripe is the rapid torch-offs when we did get decent snowfall. Back in 82-83 it was much worse. Waited all winter without enough snow to even remember. Then, just when you thought it was over, one final storm on the spring equinox hit with a solid 10". It was a nice consolation bone chucked our way. I'd be fine with something like that to cap this rough winter. I'd really like a monster snowstorm though, and this region used to get biggies in March during my youth. I think you could argue we're over-due actually for a March monster

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    On 2/19/2019 at 8:48 PM, Cary67 said:

    Storm track should perhaps slide SE with cold air pressing. May open opportunities for OV and EC. Out to 8 to 14 days. 11-16 days cold overwhelms pattern if you believe what the GEFS is selling

     

    Screenshot_20190219-193915_Samsung Internet.jpg

    Chicago and S Lakes sure need one good storm to make up for most of MET winter's lameness. (and nothing against those to my west getting a historic run either)

    • Like 1

    February 23-25th Winter Storm

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    10 hours ago, Roger Smith said:

    Raging blizzard conditions now in central NE will move across nw IA into se MN and nw WI, u.p. of MI should have a blizzard warning too, at least west of MQT to IWD. Potential for 24-36 inch snowfalls in lake enhanced flows, 50-60 mph wind gusts, single digit temps, if that's not a blizzard then what is? 

    This is a wound-up system with a lot of energy. Low is just northwest of TOP at this point. 

    Not to mention an existing deep snow pack which always amplifies effects. Totally baffled that no parts of Yooper-land are under a bliz warning. 

    February 23-25th Winter Storm

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    10 hours ago, Hoosier said:

    GRR comments on the rarity of such a deep storm.  These 3 examples were all in November though.

      

    
Rapid cyclogenesis will occur late today through Sunday as a
998 mb sfc low currently over southeastern Kansas strengthens to
around 972 mb in a position between Sault St Marie and James Bay
early Sunday evening. As noted by our previous shift this strong
of a sfc low will rival the historic fall storms like the 1998
storm, the Fitzgerald storm of 1975 and the Armistice Day storm of
1940.

    With some models taking it down to 966 mb, perhaps an even better November bomb analog would be the Nov '89 blizzard. That one bottomed at 964 mb near the southern end of James Bay

    Winter Storm - February 11-13, 2019

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    12 hours ago, beavis1729 said:

    Congrats Bo!!  Incredible stuff.

    You should become a COOP observer for the NWS.  You may set all kinds of snow records for MI. :thumbsup:

    I think MQT's record depth is 63" in March 1990; not sure about the MI state record.

    Ok, back to my self-imposed exile.

    117" somewhere in the Keweenaw and not in recent times iirc

    • Like 1

    February 14th-16th Winter Storm Threat

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    On 2/10/2019 at 3:13 PM, RogueWaves said:

    Thus, something will. go. wrong. (fyp)

     

    On 2/11/2019 at 1:45 PM, Baum said:

    wow. gone in the span of 24 hours.

     

    14 hours ago, StormChaser4Life said:

    Unbelievable how bad this has trended. Barely any surface reflection. Develops much further east. Sad day

    ..sigh.  my regular expression for winter '18-19

    • Like 2
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