Bostonseminole

recon finding sub 985

yeah, rain will be the story, not wind except right at the coast

recon should be close.. wonder if we are sub 990 at least.

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

18z RGEM up over Point Judith

east?

On 8/19/2021 at 3:09 PM, SandySurvivor said:

we have everything packed and ready to evacuate 

I expect impacts of worse than Sandy but not as severe as the 1938 storm 

did you evacuate yet?

it does look like an eye like structure, still looks meh

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Hatteras-02-48-1-100-1&checked=latlon-map&colorbar=undefined

allot of rain in Jersey/Eastern PA on that NAM run

8 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Every single model is east

he does have the HRRR still west

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

SE Eyewall dropsonde, so it does look like there is an eye trying to develop. 

 

 

 

you can see it on sat.. comes and goes

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Decoupling and then fighting some shear and dry air as it tries to organize. 

yeah, starting to see some new storms firing up close to the center, lets see if they wrap around.

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

So?

why are you posting it again? Maybe we should break a new thread and separate analysis and CT day after tomorrow posts.  Not poking at you, but probably going to get busy here as we get closer.

So what is the issue with Henri? Decoupling of the LLC/MLC? 

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 

you posted that yesterday

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

You know those eastern Mass folks…anything to get it to give them the worst of it lol.  Official NHC hasn’t shifted anything east yet, so there’s that in your corner. 

no way .. you guys can keep it, 30" of rain in 3.5 months is enough 

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So no changes since yesterday with track LI Nw to W MA. Strength cat 1 at LF. Only thing to figure out is final strength 

hmmm. definitely changes, nice try.

tweet about 15 minutes ago from MV folks

4 minutes ago, Sev said:

So…I posted this about 10 pages back.  I still don’t know wth to do about my Martha’s Vineyard trip on Monday and you guys aren’t helping.  Lol. 

I'm about 1.5 bottles of wine in, so you can decide if you take my advice.. if you are flying no problem, most flights won't be cancelled out of BOS.. me thinks.. if you are on a ferry.. might be a bit rough, might get cancelled. tbd

4 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

Great....I have a baby due anytime now, the east can have this one

congrats

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Only recon is going to be able to confirm that. 

IR and recon look increasingly good though for future intensification. 

slacking, been trying to hold the fort here lol

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

almost positive its a eye forming

let me check

Sale looking good

Just now, Bostonseminole said:

haha , still in burlington, will miss you guys, for sure, always fun to shoot the shit before a storm

to be honest the best times are before a storm, glad I found this place in 2005.. right before the Jan 2005 when I was in winchester.. looking for info, anyway I'm sure I will be back.

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Say wut? Haven't you left for the hinterlands never to be seen again? Where in the world is Raul?

haha , still in burlington, will miss you guys, for sure, always fun to shoot the shit before a storm