Bostonseminole

Let`s talk wind. ESE-SE winds are slowly increasing with gusts of 30-40 mph already showing up. Those are only a preview of what is to come. Confidence continues to increase that this system could be a major wind storm for portions of the Bay Area and Central Coast with lots of downed trees and many power outages. Hi-res deterministic models are spitting out some astounding wind speeds over the Santa Lucia Range and Mountains of San Benito County with gusts of 80-90 mph with a few pockets of 90+ mph! While this is more on the extreme side ensemble guidance isn`t too far behind. NBM probability even shows a 15-25% chc of exceeding 95 mph. While that is the upper end there`s a solid probability >75 mph of over 90% covering a much larger area. Simply put, this could be a dangerous situation if it verifies. Additionally, it will be windy on the waters too. Given the narrow focused low level jet 65 kts along the Big Sur Coast will be possible. Therefore, a first ever Hurricane Force Wind Warning will be issued with the even coastal waters forecast.

man.. we about to get smoked here at the central coast URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 909 PM PST Sat Feb 3 2024 PZZ565-041315- /O.EXP.KMTR.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-240204T0500Z/ /O.UPG.KMTR.SR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240205T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KMTR.HF.W.0001.240204T1100Z-240205T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMTR.GL.W.0010.240204T0509Z-240204T1100Z/ Coastal Waters from Point Pinos to Point Piedras Blancas California out to 10 nm- 909 PM PST Sat Feb 3 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST SUNDAY... ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM PST SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, southeast winds 35 to 45 kt with gusts up to 65 kt and seas 10 to 14 ft. For the Hurricane Force Wind Warning, southeast winds 40 to 50 kt with gusts up to 75 kt and seas 19 to 24 ft expected. * WHERE...Coastal Waters from Point Pinos to Point Piedras Blancas California out to 10 nm. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 3 AM PST Sunday. For the Hurricane Force Wind Warning, from 3 AM to 4 PM PST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Extremely strong winds will cause hazardous seas which will likely capsize or damage vessels and severely reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for extreme conditions. && $$

wow URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 909 PM PST Sat Feb 3 2024 PZZ565-041315- /O.EXP.KMTR.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-240204T0500Z/ /O.UPG.KMTR.SR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240205T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KMTR.HF.W.0001.240204T1100Z-240205T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMTR.GL.W.0010.240204T0509Z-240204T1100Z/ Coastal Waters from Point Pinos to Point Piedras Blancas California out to 10 nm- 909 PM PST Sat Feb 3 2024 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST SUNDAY... ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM PST SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Gale Warning, southeast winds 35 to 45 kt with gusts up to 65 kt and seas 10 to 14 ft. For the Hurricane Force Wind Warning, southeast winds 40 to 50 kt with gusts up to 75 kt and seas 19 to 24 ft expected. * WHERE...Coastal Waters from Point Pinos to Point Piedras Blancas California out to 10 nm. * WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until 3 AM PST Sunday. For the Hurricane Force Wind Warning, from 3 AM to 4 PM PST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Extremely strong winds will cause hazardous seas which will likely capsize or damage vessels and severely reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for extreme conditions. && $$

Im grover beach waiting for the storm, some drizzle and 56 here winds will be howling tomorrow out of the SE .

Looks like Hilary has formed

I'm up in Pismo Beach, not sure if the waves for the west facing beaches would be fun to chase.. maybe we get a tor or 2

I’ll chase it! .

Good Luck Everyone, for those interested, since the first AR hit Central California, I've received 26.4" of Rain.. that is December 1st till now, expecting another 2-4" next week.. impressive and I'm not in the higher prone areas like Big Sur that has had 5x that at least and the mountains are insane. Anyone hopefully you guys get buried!

Gonna get it good here on the central coast! .

About to get pummeled here in Grover beach with 60mph and 25 ft waves will try and take some video tomorrow .

hearing of allot of damage in PEI,

my brother in law just boarded up the cottages up in PEI and is headed back to Dartmouth to ride it out with my MIL, I told him to put a webcam as our cottage would be in a good location, not sure he had the time but if he did will post it

some other cams https://peicams.ca/

Confederation Bridge Web Cam, bridge from NB to PEI should be interesting later on https://www.confederationbridge.com/

Just told my mother in law in Stanley bridge to leave..Bridge out of PEI will close Friday probably .

Gonna suck for my cottage in PEI, hopefully it’s does not flood, faces the north beaches. .

Figures the year I move we have a nice comfortable summer. 62/59 here, today was the hottest day of the week, hit 73 .

Haha for sure, I have fog season and sun season here, that’s about it. .

I remember the south beach water was like a hot tub when I lived there. I would gauge hurricane season based on how hot that water was when I was a little kid and did not have the cool graphics. .

Actually the water is too cold, only surfers with wet suits lol .

It does not have to be hot and humid to ge the summer vibes, out here we top at 80 with low humidity and the beaches and bars are packed. .

Got plenty of those here! .

Hope everyone is enjoying summer weather up there. Was there last weekend for kid graduation and realized how much I Don’t miss the humidity. .

Enjoy the snow weenies, not much snow here in Pismo

back on 1/15-1/20 from CA so perfect timing for a biblical.. * 75 here today