wolfie09

Even with a track through ENY it's to warm for snow, not much phasing on the ukmet(through hr144),we need that northern stream to inject some colder air and bomb out..

Ukmet came in east as well..

Canadian also has another system coming up the coast that looks like it hurts our chances for lake effect (at least initially) lol So much going on that's for sure..

Precipitation starts Monday evening and cuts off Friday evening..lol We could have some breaks in there, verbatim..

More ouch lol Now everyone back to rain.. Would be a heck of a storm lol 1/2"-1" of ice followed by 3"-6" and then rain..

Ouch lol

Time to turn my attention to lake effect Icon looks really good on that front.. Obviously things can change with 6+ days left..

Early on a little more separation..

Icon with a later phase fwiw, crushes WNY..I doubt it will phase late enough to save CNY lol

Lol I'm not allowed to have an opinion? GTFO with that shit..

"Their vision for America is socialism," Haley said. "And we know that socialism has failed everywhere." RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel said, "Democrats have chosen to go down the road to socialism." The "S" word is a charge Republicans have leveled against Democrats for decades, says Thomas Alan Schwartz, a Vanderbilt University history and political science professor. "Democrats have tended, through regulation and other ways, to be more empowering of the federal government and in regulating the economy than the Republicans," Schwartz says, "and this has been called socialism." Schwartz says the term socialism actually refers to a political system in which the state is in charge of the economy and provides not only social welfare services such as health care, but where "all sorts of other things are in state control, including the large sections of the private economy." In 1945, when President Harry Truman, a Democrat, first proposed a national health insurance program, which evolved to what we now know as Medicare, Republicans opposed it, arguing it was socialist. And earlier New Deal programs, including Social Security, were similarly labeled. Now Republicans are trying to hang two Democratic proposals, the Green New Deal and "Medicare for All," on Biden, even though he supports neither, and has established a long political record as a moderate and pragmatist. And while Sanders and "Squad" members Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Rashida Tlaib identify as Democratic Socialists, their vision is more aligned with Scandinavian nations such as Denmark and Sweden, where universal health care and a wide range of social benefits — and higher taxes — are the norm, but capitalism still prevails, rather than with countries such as Venezuela and Cuba, where the state does control major industries, and authoritarians rule. Republicans level the socialist charge possibly in an effort to scare voters into opposing the Democratic ticket and supporting their candidate, but Schwartz says he doesn't think it's that frightening a label anymore. "Clearly the ways in which socialist was a dirty word during the Cold War have declined considerably," he says. "The fact that Bernie Sanders could mount such a challenge and be so strong despite being a self-professed socialist, I think does show that socialism doesn't scare many American voters anymore." Ironically, President Trump and Republicans in Congress have themselves blurred the lines between capitalism and socialism, passing the CARES Act to aid businesses and providing $600 payments to unemployed workers in the coronavirus pandemic. Trump has also opened federal coffers to rescue farmers who have been hurt by his trade disputes with China and other nations. "President Trump," Schwartz says, "is very fond of using the government and being willing to spend money and do things that might be, in another context, considered socialist."

Moderna’s coronavirus vaccine may not get life back to normal right away because it hasn’t yet been proven to prevent the deadly bug from spreading, the company’s top doctor says. Research has shown that the biotech firm’s shot is effective at preventing people from getting sick with COVID-19, but there’s no hard evidence that it stops them from carrying the virus “transiently” and potentially infecting others who haven’t been vaccinated, according to Dr. Tal Zaks, Moderna’s chief medical officer. “I think we need to be careful, as we get vaccinated, not to over-interpret the results,” Zaks told Axios in a TV interview released Monday. “When we start the deployment of this vaccine, we will not have sufficient concrete data to prove that this vaccine reduces transmission.” “Do I believe that it reduces transmission? Absolutely yes, and I say this because of the science,” he added. “But absent proof, I think it’s important that we don’t change behaviors solely on the basis of vaccination.” Zaks’ comments offer another sign that it will take time for a vaccine to bring an end to the global pandemic and help the economy recover even though drugmakers are working at a breakneck pace to produce a safe and effective inoculation.

Given how far out these features are any slight speed change to the shortwaves within the jetstreak could have big implications on early next week`s weather. There is also a lot of uncertainty as to how much cold air eventually filters in behind the synoptic storm system, with the 00Z deterministic models even now right on the threshold for rain/snow by Wednesday with the 850 hPa temperatures around -5 to -8C. Rain ahead of these upstream shortwaves will likely arrive late Sunday night and into Monday...and will use low likely PoPs for this...that even without a phasing jet...still has high probability of occuring. Thereafter will just use chance Pops with a mix of rain and snow Tuesday due to a lot of uncertainty among the models.

That's rough lol Canadian even throwing the coast some snow but CNY? Lol

Yeah and it still finds a way to be a mix for most of CNY lol Overall the run was blah.. Even any potential LES looks blah..6z Gfs looked pretty good for some SW/WSW so we'll see..

Model guidance continues to diverge significantly from Sunday night into the start of the new work week. Current guidance indicates the presence of a 500mb closed low that has been drifting over the southwest during the weekend will propagate eastward, potentially phasing with a deep longwave trough to the north. This amplified upper level trough and associated surface cyclone are then progged to impact the area Monday and Tuesday, overspreading the area with precipitation. Due large discrepancies with the timing, location, and dynamics of this phasing pattern across long-range guidance, have increasing PoPs Monday morning before keeping only chance PoPs through Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures on Sunday and Monday are expected to be at or above normal before cold air advection kicks in late Monday and into Tuesday, also marking a possible transition from mostly liquid precip to snow for much of the area by Tuesday morning. Any snow accumulations and the possibility of a lake response in a NW flow will be difficult to determine until model guidance comes to a better consensus with the track of this system.

Break out the shorts? Lol Definitely a possibility if it phases to soon which it does on the euro..

Yup

This run may be to far inland lol We'll see..

I think is was more because vort was joking/sarcastic since we never see millers A's anymore lol BW was nice enough to post it even though it was more tongue and cheek, I got a little chuckle lol No malicious intent..

Need a perfectly placed phase to save CNY or it's riding inland lol 6z kept them separate and we had some rain and backend flakes lol

I gotcha..I was referring to business"owner" lol But I misinterpreted what you meant..

Now we wait all week and see what happens lol

Yup fun times on the Canadian especially for wny..