wolfie09

If the european is wrong that would be 2 events in a row showing feet of snow 3-7 days before an event, you hardly ever see the GFS giving us bombs anymore lol(within a week)

The European has a tendency to be to "grabby" lol Something to obviously watch.. Actually the 12z gfs has outperformed the 0z euro at 3,5 and 7 days, will be interesting to see what it shows..

Source

Still plenty of options on the table.. These are 6z ensembles

At the surface(track) the 0z gfs and ecm aren't far apart..At 500 it's a different story lol

The crazy thing about the european is it's track lol It goes NE from here, not an ideal track under normal circumstances lol

Ensembles

European control looks good as well..

Canadian

Yeah you beat me to it lol No surprise since the global has been onboard..

At least this system looks to be plenty cold with the strong HP to our north.. Just need to get some decent precipitation lol

Double barrel low on the Icon..

Maybe this? OR as Vortmax alluded to them as "ufo clouds" https://earthsky.org/earth/best-photos-beautiful-lenticular-clouds-around-the-world

You really can't trust any models these days lol European showed feet of snow within 72-96 hrs with the last New england special..

I'm rooting for the Canadian and it's more robust Lake effect lol

Well I'm pretty much the JP over the next 10 days with a whole inch, congrats me..

Yeah it was..

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... This period will start off with a deepening cold airmass with 850 hPa temperatures dropping down to around -10 to -14C by Tuesday morning. This colder airmass will aid in the generation of weak lake effect snow, primarily east and southeast of the Lakes Sunday night through Monday night, and possibly into Tuesday. Moisture over the Lakes will be limited as deeper synoptic moisture remains near a passing shortwave traveling across the Southeastern States. Another shortwave will arrive Wednesday of next week with this shortwave taking a track much closer to our region. This will bring an increasing chance for widespread, but light snow showers Wednesday and into Wednesday night. By Thursday the main upper level shortwave will be pushing eastward with a west to east drying trend. Temperatures will be near normal this period

Syracuse already has a deficit of over a foot..If next week's system misses us then add on another 10 days to that unless something else pops up..

Meteorological winter has and this isn't NYC lol Tired of hearing that..

Had to go back to the 90s to see what real synoptic events look like lol They do exist..

A handful of decent ones.. Source

Just going off the clown map, probably a good amount of spread which is obviously to be expected.. lol

Perfect example lol hard for me to root for NE winds that's for sure..