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Everything posted by wolfie09
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The hearing is scheduled for today but they did kinda win in Texas, only 1 drop box allowed in each county, Harris county for example has nearly 5 million people lol It also sounds like the mail is "behind" in certain swing states, if it doesn't make it to election officials in time, it won't count.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Trump administration is so desperate lol Trying to suppress votes every where which is a typical Republican move lol Trump himself has said if everyone voted we would never have a Republican president lol He's planning to call it after tomorrow night even though several states will still be county mail-in ballots (presumably democratic)..Trump has already said that he will send his lawyers into PA after the election, trying to overturn the supreme court ruling, allowing mail-in ballots counted for 3 days after the election.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The Republicans may need just as much time lol At least going by the"return rate" which is much greater for the democratic party.. Obviously some people will have a change of heart and vote at the polls.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Results may not be known until several days after the election..As CNN reported some counties in PA won't start counting mail in ballots until the polls close or even the next morning.. WASHINGTON — In a pair of decisions welcomed by Democrats, the Supreme Court on Wednesday let election officials in two key battleground states, Pennsylvania and North Carolina, accept absentee ballots for several days after Election Day. In the Pennsylvania case, the court refused a plea from Republicans in the state that it decide before Election Day whether election officials can continue receiving absentee ballots for three days after Nov. 3. In the North Carolina case, the court let stand lower court rulings that allowed the state’s board of elections to extend the deadline to nine days after Election Day, up from the three days called for by the state legislature. The court’s brief orders in the two cases were unsigned. The Pennsylvania order appeared to be unanimous, while the North Carolina one was issued over three noted dissents. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
For trump to win he needs to win at least one of Michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania..All 3 usually lean blue and he won them each by less than 1%..Joe biden"likeability" is about 10% higher than that of hilary, according to some polls I have seen..I may be in the minority but I think Biden wins PA just like obama did in 2008 and 2012.. You have some more"toss up" states this year such as florida, arizona and north Carolina.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
He still would of had 280 without those states in 2016..NC is another important state.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This is from the"elections project" Until this point, registered Democrats have dominated the early voting period on the strength of their higher mail ballots request rate and return rate advantages. Both of these patterns are different from prior elections where registered Republicans tended to request more mail ballots and return them at a higher rate. Funny considering how mail-in votes are a recipe for fraud lol -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yup, that's exactly why she was rushed into office lol Trump is trying his hardest to eliminate democratic votes, that's for sure..I bet he has tried to sue every state lol -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Florida is as expected..More Republican party at the polls, more mail-in for the democratic party.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Out pacing the Republican party even at the polls in NC.. Granted many"undecided" -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Democratic"party" coming out early in PA, I guess this was to be expected..Will the Republicans be able to reverse this on election day? -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
As of Sunday -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thanks Yeah, that's "worst case scenario" IF scientist recommend it..That's different than he "will"..It was also an interview 2 months ago.. Today he was talking about improving the economy while being safe (mask, social distancing etc..) -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm not sure that's exactly what he said lol I have never personally heard him say he was going to lockdown the country..Mask mandate? Yes Total lockdown?No.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania for example has roughly 800k more registered Democrats than Republicans, if everyone voted trump shouldn't win the state lol Imo it's more likey for a registered Republican to reverse course then vice versa.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
People need to vote!! -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nearly 40 million people have voted so far..Nearing 30% of the 2016 turnout.. I'm not sure these rally's and debates mean anything anymore lol You either love him or hate him, not much in-between.. The Republicans are taking a chance with flooding the polls on election day given many states will have less polls, long lines, possibility of bad weather etc.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yup, more research is needed.. Just like people that become more ill have more antibodies according to a small study.. People who were sicker had a stronger immune response, Bhattacharya said. “The people sampled from the ICU had higher levels of antibodies than people who had milder disease.” He doesn’t yet know what that will mean for long-term immunity -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
While it rare you can get the coronavirus twice. Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases said this week health officials are beginning to see "a number of cases" reported as reinfections It's also not"lifetime" immunity.. Researchers from the University of Arizona found antibodies that protect against infection can last for at least five to seven months after a Covid-19 infection. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What's the purpose of herd immunity? Lol Just so you don't have to wear a mask lol It's not like the country is still shut down..If people wanted to get sick they would, government is not gonna make people do it..Zero percent chance.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nearing 1/5 of the 2016 election, already.. Obviously we have no idea how many will show up at the polls on November 3rd.. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A vaccine for COVID-19 could be widely available as soon as this April, according to Dr. Anthony Fauci — a timeline that runs slightly longer than President Donald Trump’s previous predictions. Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, made the assertion during an interview with CBS News Wednesday, saying a vaccine “will likely be [available] within the first quarter of 2021, by let’s say April of 2021.” Trump has for months been targeting the release of a vaccine by Nov. 3 — election day for the US — even going so far as to say that one could be released within the next few weeks. “We could even have it during the month of October,” he said during a press conference last month. “The vaccine will be very safe and very effective and it will be delivered very soon. You could have a very big surprise coming up.” Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar was also slightly more conservative with his estimates, telling a Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference last week, “We project having enough for every American who wants a vaccine by March to April 2021.” In the interview, Fauci expressed caution at expecting a vaccine too soon, saying, “that would be predicated on the fact that all of the vaccines that are in clinical trials have been proven to be safe and effective.” Johnson and Johnson paused their vaccine study on Sunday after a participant came down with an “unexplained illness.” Eli Lilly also paused an antibody treatment trial Tuesday, citing a “potential safety concern.” Meanwhile, almost 40,000 participants have signed up for studies that would involve getting intentionally exposed to COVID-19 after receiving an experimental vaccine. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Doesn't sound like that to me lol The head of the World Health Organization said Monday that allowing the novel coronavirus to spread in an attempt to reach herd immunity was “simply unethical.” The remark was a sharp rebuke of the approach amid mounting new infections around the world. Recent days have seen the most rapid rise in cases since the pandemic began in March. “Never in the history of public health has herd immunity been used as a strategy for responding to an outbreak, let alone a pandemic,” WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said at a Monday media briefing. “It is scientifically and ethically problematic.” -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Washington (CNN)The latest election controversy cropped up this week in California, where Republicans installed dozens of unauthorized ballot dropboxes that state officials say are illegal. The dropbox debacle, triggered by California Republicans who appeared to violate state laws, immediately injected new chaos into the frenzied and unprecedented 2020 election process. The coronavirus pandemic has led to historic interest in mail-in voting, but President Donald Trump and the GOP have spent months attacking the integrity of mail ballots and fighting in court against dropboxes. The California dispute is the latest flashpoint in this ongoing battle. "Whether or not it is technically legal, it's extremely problematic for voters," said CNN election law analyst Rick Hasen, who is also a law professor at the University of California, Irvine. He said the unauthorized dropboxes were "not secure" and that the GOP was "asking for trouble." What happened in California? California is mailing ballots to all registered voters this year. Voters can mail back their ballots or return them at official dropboxes. There are anti-fraud safeguards built into the process to make sure ballots are filled out by the right voter, and that dropboxes are protected from tampering. The California Republican Party installed dozens of unauthorized ballot dropboxes in at least four Southern California counties, where there are competitive House races this year. The party claims it did this as part of an above-board effort to legally collect and return people's ballots. Election officials in affected counties expressed alarm about the "deceptive" boxes. California's governor, attorney general and secretary of state -- all Democrats -- condemned the dropboxes and sent cease-and-desist letters, telling the state GOP to remove the dropboxes by Thursday. As of late Tuesday, no response had been received, according to Attorney General Xavier Becerra's press office. Why did Republicans do this? Republicans claimed they merely wanted to use their makeshift dropboxes to collect people's ballots and return them to election officials. The dropboxes were spotted at churches and gun shops in more conservative-leaning areas, suggesting they were an effort to boost turnout among GOP voters where there are competitive House races. "Republicans are in a tough spot," Hasen said. "On one hand, you have the President, who is criticizing vote-by-mail and says it is prone to fraud. On the other hand, Republicans in California has long relied on a strong vote-by-mail operation to get out the Republican vote." But some Democrats claimed Republicans were trying to rig the election. California Gov. Gavin Newsom said the incident proved Republicans would "lie, cheat, and threaten our democracy all for the sake of gaining power," without providing evidence that the GOP planned to tamper with ballots. Republicans deny any wrongdoing and accused Democrats of hypocrisy. Did Republicans break the law? Yes, according to California Secretary of State Alex Padilla, a Democrat who is overseeing the election. His office sent a five-page memo to counties explaining their interpretation of the relevant state laws, which regulate ballot dropboxes and ballot collection efforts by third parties. Padilla's office says state law only permits election officials -- not political parties -- to establish dropboxes for voters to return their ballots. Therefore, the GOP-installed boxes are illegal. The memo also said Republicans violated laws on ballot collection, which is pejoratively called "ballot harvesting." California lets voters designate any "person" to return their ballot on their behalf, often a family member of a volunteer from a political campaign. But the GOP dropboxes eliminated this person-to-person part of the process, which is a key safeguard against fraud. Is there an investigation? Becerra is "prepared to take action to enforce state law, should it become necessary," his office said in the cease-and-desist letter state GOP leaders. The Orange County district attorney's office said Monday that it "launched an investigation" into the unauthorized dropboxes. District Attorney Todd Spitzer, a Republican, said in a press release that he "will not tolerate anyone interfering with someone's ability to have their voice heard in our democratic process," and would evaluate whether criminal charges are warranted. Fresno County Clerk Brandi Orth told CNN that she received videos from a voter of improper GOP dropboxes in her area, and that she referred them to the Fresno County district attorney. How is Trump responding? Trump has repeatedly undermined the integrity of the election and lied about the prevalence of voter fraud in California and other states. He falsely claimed ballot dropboxes are dangerous and lead to vote-rigging, and he waded into the California dispute Tuesday with two tweets. "You mean only Democrats are allowed to do this? But haven't the Dems been doing this for years? See you in court. Fight hard Republicans!" Trump tweeted Tuesday night, inaccurately describing state laws, which allow any party to collect ballots, as long as it is done in-person. And in an earlier tweet, Trump encouraged Republicans in two other reliably Democratic states to try similar tactics, saying, "New York and Illinois -- go for it!" While Trump seemed eager about the possibility of filing lawsuits about the dropbox situation in California, the Trump campaign and Republicans haven't been successful at stopping mail-in voting in the courts this cycle. What happens next? The next few days will determine if this dispute escalates into a massive political showdown, leads to a full-blown criminal investigation -- or if Republicans quietly decide to back down. It's possible Republicans were just trying to test the waters of what they are legally permitted to do, like their recent efforts to send unauthorized poll watchers to voting sites in Philadelphia. Another more sinister possibility, experts said, is that they knew the dropboxes would cause issues, but are trying to sow chaos and weaken public confidence in the vote-by-mail process. "I think imparting a coherent political strategy to this is a fool's errand," said CNN analyst Jessica Huseman, who covers voting rights and election administration for ProPublica. "I think it was just a way for them to stir the pot, and I don't know how effective it really was. Ultimately, the people who ended up holding the bag were Republican Party members, and nobody else." -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
wolfie09 replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Still in negotiations for this house me and the old lady are trying to get lol Looks like November and December I'll be rooting for WSW/SW winds lol Hopefully by the end of December I'm back in Oswego county rooting for those westerly events, Orwell NY to be exact..
