wolfie09

Getting crushed to the south just ahead of the mix line, wanna smell the taint lol I'm sure it will continue to progress north..

At least they put out an HWO..

We finally had a chance at a real good track and this HP fooks it up lol It basically goes due north into NJ before making a sharp right..

Latest SREF mean..

First few flurries started up in northern Oswego according to the old lady..

Current Dewpoints..

3k looks a good amount better with a few inches at 10-1 (4"-5" if you believe ratios)..

Granted I'll be in lewis county for this event but i was hoping to have some snow on the ground when I get there lol

This is Kuchera so take off a little if you like (NAM) but it's funny how the precipitation pretty much goes around northern Oswego county, happens every event unless it's more of a hybrid system..I guess back to rooting for cutters and northerly clippers

Well it can't be much of a king if it double precipitation as the event is ongoing lol Granted QPF is always off on the models..You can have the highest verification at 500 but we don't live at 500 lol

Hrrr has snow reaching Oswego county earlier than the NWS has BUT it's fighting dry air for hours before steadier snow moves in..

Latest HRRR meh

Current radar

Not much but it would give us a white Christmas.. Also some LES Mon/Tues..

Looks like a little bump up for pulaski.. Not like that's saying much lol Tonight A chance of snow showers before midnight, then snow, mainly after midnight. Low around 20. East wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Thursday Snow before 10am, then a chance of snow showers, mainly between 10am and 2pm. High near 25. North wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

0z vs 12z

Which is surprising considering its resolution..Not that I know much about that lol But lower resolution models like the ukmet and Canadian pick up on it a lot better..It's run at 9km compared to the rgem 10km, something must be missing lol

European FWIW..0.4" LE for kbuf, Kroc..0.5" for ksyr..

Current radar..

Looks about right, Oswego county snow dome in effect, looks like freak could be the cutoff..1"-3" for kbuf CWA seems like a good call..

Lots of activity on the Canadian, medium to LR..

You can see the fighting of dry air in Oswego county lol Eventually it will make it..

Cams for us that will be watching from afar lol https://511ny.org/#:Alerts

DP up to 7 here, same as ksyr for now..