wolfie09

Pretty moist at 700mb to get nothing lol

Starting my packing tomorrow lol Movers will be here Thursday 1pm, I really shouldn't be rooting for a big storm lol But I can't help it..

Once again another small shift north..Not so much with the track but the precipitation..Just yesterday that area was expecting nothing lol

All I know is if this was the other way around we all be saying no way this stays the same for the next 5 days lol

Yeah but last few years have been horrendous lol My in-laws in CNJ have like 7" over the last 2 years..I guess they are due lol 2017 and 2018(monmouth county)

Doesn't seem like much but this is within 72 hours, every mile matters lol

Navy rule? Lol I try to bring hope..

If you look at the European ensembles I posted above about 7-10 have that kind of track, won't be fully sampled to Monday..Who knows what happens lol

Icon Fwiw

Some ok tracks .

Well I guess 2015-2016 started out even worse then this year lol First inch was not until Dec 19th..That year pulaski finished with 76"..

Now that's a cold month..One positive is I won't have to measure snow in pulaski, not just because they aren't getting any either lol Spotter right down the block..

Our friends out of Boston.. Potential for a winter storm still on the map but still a lot of uncertainty on how it all plays out given it is still a Day 5/6 forecast. Lots of spread in low track among ensemble guidance and there are timing issues as well. System responsible for the storm still over the central Pacific and it will take until Mon or Tue before it is better sampled by upper air network in US. The extent of downstream ridging over north Atlantic also a factor to how amplified this system becomes and how strong and how close it tracks to New Eng. Deep cold air is firmly in place suggesting all snow event, except for portions of SE New Eng where some rain could get involved if storm track gets close to New Eng

European control snow depth, just keeping hope alive haha Nothing else going on..

Wpc D6

Not terrible, near a 50% chance of 6" for Ksyr on the ensembles, obviously must be a bunch of inland solutions..

It's about the spread only 72 hours out, not expecting anything from it lol

I only bring that up because of 12z yesterday (top) compared to 12z today (bottom) Models are having trouble even in the short term..

Here is the European ensembles for a storm only 3 days away lol (Monday)

Probably some decent members on the Canadian ensembles.. This system going East/ENE off the S Jersey coast sure doesn't help lol If it's not one thing it's another..

European actually looks like the Canadian..The gfs is weaker and more progressive.. That HP is not going to allow it to gain much latitude..

Congrats Mid-Atlantic, we'll head into January with less snow then coastal communities have lol

GEFS are not a fan..

Canadian is actually more "tucked" then the euro and stronger.. Totally different precipitation field though..The dying primary is also farther north on the euro..

Not sure it will make much of a difference at the surface but Canadian took a jump towards the european at 500 .. Still doesn't make it up here verbatim..