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wolfie09

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Everything posted by wolfie09

  1. What model shows it in place for 48hours? The Globals have a west wind on Saturday. The NWS has the bulk ending by 1pm sat for kbuf..You can see the band starting to shift south early sat..I would say more like 24 hours if the GFS is to be believed.. Obviously could still be low-balling it..I'm speaking of buff proper..
  2. So rough lol How many different ways can we lose out on a snowstorm, starting to lose count..WNY still has a shot at a white Christmas, CNY chances are dwindling..
  3. So for the Lake Ontario region the ukmet sends the LP through eastern ny and has a West-WNW flow and crushes Freak lol The European goes through CNY and has more of a West-WSW flow.. We'll have to wait and see what SR guidance shows.
  4. Gfs was west, nice hit for WNY, decent for here but tight lol
  5. https://www.wkbw.com/weather/snowiest-christmas-ever-lake-snow-to-blast-buffalo-on-friday
  6. Practically every GFS member is a decent hit..Mean SLP looks like it goes east of us into the Adirondacks and on north..
  7. 18z European should be running soon for the synoptic portion but since the coast is toast I can't steal it from anybody lol
  8. I'm keeping an eye on the Ull.. The first image is a westerly flow(used loosely) event..Not an exact science but gives me a ball park idea..
  9. Yeah, it's so hard to get the whole board involved..The system cuts farther west and most of us see no synoptic or LES (obviously Buffalo crowd would be happy) or it goes to far east and fringes western areas with little lake effect.. I'm hoping we all get into some synoptic action and worry about lake effect when the time comes..
  10. Just synoptic.. Little different than the European..lol
  11. If you look at the p&c forecast the NWS has us all changing over to snow Thursday night, so they are obviously expecting a little colder solution then some of the warmer guidance shows..
  12. ^^^ Most of that falls in just one hour in Oswego county.. We'll start to get a better view this evening..
  13. ICON went from a SW flow to a West-WSW flow just from that little change in track..It's going to be a while lol
  14. Couldn't afford any more west that's for sure..
  15. LR NAM for the synoptic portion.. Hopefully that cold air catches up with that heavy moisture..
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