wolfie09

After a little more freezing drizzle we have flipped back to snow.. Sitting at 29°..

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Don't worry guys these will be sure to verify..

Rgem total precipitation..

Not much in the way of LES on the rgem.. Just some light wrap around and lake effect.

Nam

12z at hour 60..

Everyone on this board is guilty of it minus a select few..

Well to be fair we aren't forecasters, this is a hobby/fun for us..If people want to get butt hurt that's their own fault.. I'm not the one begging for european WB Kuchera maps everyday lol.. Which by the way is 10 times worse then PW..

This was the nam yesterday morning after briefly starting 10/1-12/1.. Keep in mind the NAM was to cold verbatim..

Yeah but how many of those models had you mixing?

That had nothing to do with it lol All those weenie maps were when the storm was cold lol Once the models started pushing the warmth north Kuchera was less than 10-1 at times.. The track changes Kuchera changes lol Not to mention we didn't get the amount of precip most guidance had..

Just trying to cheer up freak, granted the HRRR sucks ass..

Eyeballing a good 4"-5" otg.. Have managed to stay away from mixing so far but we are hardly seeing any precip lol..We should see the return of some wrap around moisture later this afternoon..

Flake size has increased here, accumulating nicely..

Snow starting to pick up here, 24°.. Flakes are a little small but it works lol

Hrrr continues to show the mix line missing me just to the east, let's keep it that way lol Although we shouldn't lose much to mixing anyway..

Light steady snow here, flakes look decent at the moment.. Temps are in the mid 20s which the NAM picked up on a couple days ago, majority of guidance had temps in the teens or even single digits..

Always coming with sad news unfortunately. RIP https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/30907010/ex-nfl-wr-vincent-jackson-found-dead-florida-age-38

There remains uncertainty to the track and timing of this storm system for Thursday and Friday. The 12Z deterministic run of the GFS is now in better agreement with the 12Z Canadian in maintaining the eastward track of of the deepening coastal low, which will aid in pulling colder air southward across our region. Though model guidance continues to trend a tad colder, will continue to mention the possibility of mixed precip with this system Thursday - early Friday. Regardless, any mixed precip that may clip the CWA will change over to all snow by Friday as colder air filters in. While it`s still too early to pin down any specifics, and with the exception of any mixed precipitation that may nudge into the region, significant snowfall accumulations for the majority of the area are possible Thursday morning and into Friday. In terms of temperatures, the cold streak will continue with highs remaining below normal. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Northwest flow behind exiting system will transition synoptic-scale precipitation over to lake enhanced/lake effect snow Friday night into Saturday. High pressure and drier air will build in and diminish the lake effect snows Sunday.

So much for the NWS "low-balling" us lol They may end up a little high.. Probably have a 6-8 hour window of moderate-heavy precipitation..

Yeah definitely took a turn for the worse.. Guess we'll have to wait and see