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vortex

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  1. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 501 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017 The focus will then shift to the late afternoon/evening timeframe. The current environment features 1000-2000 J/kg MLCAPE values and effective bulk shear values of 35-50 kts. However, large scale forcing is absent for now and that is why the storms are still subsevere. This will change as a shortwave trough located in central Iowa propagates east this evening. DCVA associated with this trough will promote large scale vertical motion over the CWA. Strong thunderstorms have already started to develop in eastern Iowa and this can be expected in our area later this afternoon. Given the environment discussed, the thunderstorm development will be better organized and the threat for straight line damaging winds and large hail will exist. CAM`s guidance shows organized thunderstorm development in western parts of the CWA by 0100 UTC and moving into the Chicago city limits by 0200-0300 UTC. Once this wave moves through, some of the model guidance suggests another wave of thunderstorms in the early morning hours. However, confidence is not high that the atmosphere will be able to recover during the nocturnal hours, so this will have to be watched closely.
  2. Had several large trees down around here and power was out here for three hours. It was like a mini tropical storm. Odd seeing winds gusting that high from the Northeast.
  3. 2 inches here mostly on grassy and shade areas. South of here did better.
  4. Chicago also received another 8" of snow a week after the blizzard. Interesting reading the forecasts just a day before the storm.
  5. Yep, F this winter. I'll take a day like today over the cold and dry.
  6. Just woke up to the thunder and lightning. Crazy. Heavy freezing rain. That's a first for me. Sitting at 30 degrees.
  7. Nice t-storms and lightning here earlier. Power was even going on and off. Like cyclone said, decent consolation to this crap pattern. Made it up to 53 just prior.
  8. I remember the ice storm in New England and Canada back in January of 1998. I believe a few locations had 4" of ice accumulation. They also had one in the early 1920s.
  9. Might be because I don't pay attention to CPC much, but that is bluest I've seen in awhile. Hopefully we get the storm ahead of the cold.
  10. Good point. I remember getting excited when there was winter storm warnings issued for the 4 or more inches of snow. Still plenty early and we've already done much better compared to last December.
  11. LOT thinking 7-10 north of 80 with 17:1 ratios at beginning of event.
  12. Nice Cyclone. Wasn't paying much attention to storm. 2-2.5" here so far. Nice seeing snow in December again.
  13. No he didn't. He may have said similar autumn temps and not just November. I know he said 8 of the 10 winters that followed ended up above normal.
  14. I was watching Skilling one night a week or so back. I believe he said 8 of the 10 winters with the warmest Novembers ended up above average temp wise.
  15. Yes, agree. Another 1.82" here last night puts me at 10.06" for August. Getting old.
  16. A little over 2 inches of rain in under an hour at my house. Nuts. I've been mowing the yard like it's spring.
  17. Nice vid. Is this the survey? PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA/IL 200 PM CDT FRI AUG 5 2016 NWS STORM SURVEY TEAM SURVEYED DAMAGE ACROSS CLINTON AND SCOTT COUNTIES TODAY. THE TEAM FOUND SPORADIC WIND DAMAGE, IN A PATH, IN THE FORM OF TREES AND BRANCHES DOWN. THIS DAMAGE WAS FOUND TO BE CONSISTENT WITH 65 TO 75 MPH STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. NO EVIDENCE OF A TORNADO WAS FOUND.
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