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Modfan

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Everything posted by Modfan

  1. sitting here on the side of the FL Turnpike in FT Pierce work in on storm prep and the trends while encouraging do not change the fact I am still in line for a possible direct hit. The next 24hrs of model runs are crucial here.
  2. Regardless of modeling, August has been a wet month for St Lucie County South to Palm Beach; we don't need any more rain. Currently getting bands of showers and storms pin wheeling in of the ocean
  3. The only saving grace is we have 3-4 day a for it to adjust; praying GFS is wrong
  4. As currently modeled I look to take a direct hit, and not any fun like DIT would think. Lots of stress between work and getting house shuttered. Hoping future models are further N or S of current track.
  5. Need to know how strong that High is near Bermuda and positioning as well
  6. Yes. Hoping it goes further north towards Melbourne/Cocoa.
  7. Hope your right; I sit 45 miles south of Vero Beach and stress level about a 100!
  8. Hope so, but still planning like I Might see a Cat 2 in S FL
  9. If you live on the coast then you should ALREADY have supplies because there is always a chance!....But, yes it is always good to have an emergency kit ready.
  10. I agree....I would however split that and say a mid GA coast to SC line as a possible LF. The early. UKie runs had this to the N FL area which peaked my interst seeing how well it performed with Irma. We'll see how that works the next 2 days.
  11. I was thinking that this could very likely go to GA/SC border; will have to see what today and tomorrow brings.
  12. Wouldn't get locked onto one model just yet; during Irma GFS and Euro had two different out comes; both ended up off with their tracks and Ukie end up nailing the track.
  13. Last I saw was 12" in West Woodstock CT at noon, have to be approaching 14 with that band rotting over head
  14. I'm following from Okeechobee County in FL, last I heard I. Woodstock was 5" about 2hrs ago, got to be close to 8 now.
  15. I was Will;that March date sounds about right. I was just astounded as to the amount of snow that fell in such a short period. That event caught a lot of people off guard.
  16. Not sure the date, but 2-3 years ago we had a storm that was either late Feb or early March, I had a medical call for my FD at about 1-2am and we had about 5-7 inches on the ground when I got home. Betwee that time and 6-7am we must have got another 10-15 inches of snow. I Remember opening the front door and was amazed at the size of the drift at my door. One of the guys on my FD plows for the town and said it was snowing a 3-4" an hr rate during that period and they had to get off the road it was so bad. Does anyone remember which storm that was?
  17. Does that band coming up near BI looks like it's going to hit SW RI and and E CT pretty good
  18. Any chance that the heavier band in se Ma shifts further west to western RI eastern Ct? NW RI seems to always perform well in these events.
  19. Good luck getting gas, lik Web 1970s lines out there: better safe having it ready to go
  20. Will - how does that bode for the SE Worcester County/NW RI and NE Ct hills? They seem to perform well in these in these sets ups, but wonder if the deform band sets up to far west?
  21. I left out of Worcester last night as I wasn't sure if I would get out this evening; will be watching from SFL.
  22. Do we see the fire hose effect somewhere like we had with the 2013 storm in Hamden and South Eastern CT?
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