Rtd208

Picked up 1.35" of rain for the day yesterday. That could prime my area for more flooding beginning tomorrow thru Wednesday depending on where the heaviest rains fall.

Picked up 1.35" of rain for the day yesterday. That could prime my area for more flooding beginning tomorrow thru Wednesday depending on where the heaviest rains fall.

SPC Day 2 ...Northeast... Moderate destabilization near and south of the surface warm front, combined with veering wind profiles with 35-50 kt of effective shear, will result in a conditionally favorable environment for supercells across much of central/eastern PA/NY and northern NJ by Sunday afternoon. However, substantial uncertainty remains regarding storm coverage across the region with the most favorable environment. Large-scale ascent associated with the departing shortwave trough is expected to primarily remain north of the international border, with a capping inversion around 700 mb potentially limiting deep convection across much of the warm sector. At least isolated thunderstorm development will be possible along an eastward-moving surface trough Sunday afternoon. All hazards would be possible with any sustained deep convection. A Slight Risk has been introduced from northeast PA into central NY, where confidence in storm coverage is somewhat greater due to potentially stronger heating and instability compared to areas further north and east.

SPC Day 2 ...Northeast... Moderate destabilization near and south of the surface warm front, combined with veering wind profiles with 35-50 kt of effective shear, will result in a conditionally favorable environment for supercells across much of central/eastern PA/NY and northern NJ by Sunday afternoon. However, substantial uncertainty remains regarding storm coverage across the region with the most favorable environment. Large-scale ascent associated with the departing shortwave trough is expected to primarily remain north of the international border, with a capping inversion around 700 mb potentially limiting deep convection across much of the warm sector. At least isolated thunderstorm development will be possible along an eastward-moving surface trough Sunday afternoon. All hazards would be possible with any sustained deep convection. A Slight Risk has been introduced from northeast PA into central NY, where confidence in storm coverage is somewhat greater due to potentially stronger heating and instability compared to areas further north and east.

SPC Day 2 ...Northeast... Moderate destabilization near and south of the surface warm front, combined with veering wind profiles with 35-50 kt of effective shear, will result in a conditionally favorable environment for supercells across much of central/eastern PA/NY and northern NJ by Sunday afternoon. However, substantial uncertainty remains regarding storm coverage across the region with the most favorable environment. Large-scale ascent associated with the departing shortwave trough is expected to primarily remain north of the international border, with a capping inversion around 700 mb potentially limiting deep convection across much of the warm sector. At least isolated thunderstorm development will be possible along an eastward-moving surface trough Sunday afternoon. All hazards would be possible with any sustained deep convection. A Slight Risk has been introduced from northeast PA into central NY, where confidence in storm coverage is somewhat greater due to potentially stronger heating and instability compared to areas further north and east.

SPC Day 3 ...Northeast... Organized convection will again be possible in association with the northeastward-moving cyclone on Sunday, as moderate low/mid-level flow and rich low-level moisture overspread portions of the Northeast. Considerable uncertainty remains regarding how this scenario will evolve, but supercells and/or organized bowing segments will be possible, with an attendant risk of locally damaging wind. Some tornado potential will also be present in the vicinity of the retreating surface warm front as it moves northward through the day. Some portion of this region may require an upgrade once details come into better focus.

SPC Day 3 ...Northeast... Organized convection will again be possible in association with the northeastward-moving cyclone on Sunday, as moderate low/mid-level flow and rich low-level moisture overspread portions of the Northeast. Considerable uncertainty remains regarding how this scenario will evolve, but supercells and/or organized bowing segments will be possible, with an attendant risk of locally damaging wind. Some tornado potential will also be present in the vicinity of the retreating surface warm front as it moves northward through the day. Some portion of this region may require an upgrade once details come into better focus.

We got hit pretty good here. Picked up 1.28" of rain so far today when the storms moved through.

We got hit pretty good here. Picked up 1.28" of rain so far today when the storms moved through.

Under a severe thunderstorm warning here now.

Under a warning here now.

Pretty big area of heavy rain/severe storms about to move into the NYC metro area. Great job by @wdrag highlighting the potential.

High for the day yesterday was 96 here. Current temp 83/DP 75/RH 76%

High for the day yesterday was 96 here. Current temp 83/DP 75/RH 76%

Current temp up to 95 here.

Current temp up to 95 here.

Current temp 92/DP 69/RH 46%

Current temp 92/DP 69/RH 46%

High for the day yesterday was 94 here. Current temp 77/DP 64/RH 65%

High for the day yesterday was 94 here. Current temp 77/DP 64/RH 65%

Temp up to 94 here. Lower DP's/Humidity today though.

Temp up to 94 here. Lower DP's/Humidity today though.

Current temp 92/DP 62/RH 37%

Current temp 92/DP 62/RH 37%

Current temp 86/DP 72/RH 64%