Cashtown_Coop

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

For this week, a quick run through the 6Z/0Z models and the GFS, UK and HRRR still have some snow in the LSV. GFS has sig snow in the Northern LSV actually.   Rgem/CMC, Nam 3K and 12K, Euro, FV3 have backed the >1" snow line to the very top of the LSV (Pillowish) or totally out of the LSV.  The Nam's backed way off for the MSV as well.    @Cashtown_Coop, we are "out" on everything except the UK.   The Rgem was close for you at 0Z but now is nothing. 

My expectations are low.   .2” would give me 1” season total so that’s my bar.  Sad lol 

8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

GFS snow map on pivotal is....unique.  But general sense here is that it continues to promote a wintery sceanrio.   Does trainer get 5" or the hole of pain?  Just north of DC gets plowable?

 

 

 

Did you hack the model?  Random bullseye over your hood.  

1 hour ago, pawatch said:

NWS first guess.

I like the map.  Looks like Cashtown has become an official site on the map.  

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

Globals, Op's wise, do not see to care what you would like.    

Storm after the storm ?

13 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 6z EPS & GEFS both have low tracks that will work for Winter weather for the LSV for Thursday/Friday.

We still have a couple of days until this is resolved 

I’d like to see a trend today showing more offshore hits and less inland rain solutions. 

5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

 

Congrats on scoring this Am. 

Current Ob.   33 and rain.  More of that to come 

4 hours ago, paweather said:

What month and year is this? 

I looked this up after you said the date.  It wasn’t a good storm down this way.  0.89” of cold rain then I marked a trace of snow on the 8th.    

1 hour ago, sauss06 said:

reading reports of Icey roads in Perry County. Millerstown, Blain, Elliotsburg etc. 

yes indeed.   Many wrecks in Adams this morn.   Fairfield area, York Springs and a school bus slid off the road west of Biglerville.    

13 minutes ago, paweather said:

We need a winter luck poster to start our winter December thread on Thursday. @Blizzard of 93 @Bubbler86 @Itstrainingtime who else? LOL. 

I vote blizz93.   He’ll take us to the glory land 

52 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

We call those lollipops

 

 

Lick lick lick.   I was gonna write jacks of 18”

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

The HRRR is suggesting some areas of the LSV see +20MPH sustained winds tomorrow (and very warm to boot).

 

 

Any idea how much for Cashtown 

6-12” with isolated 18” amounts ?

15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

For shits and giggles, the 18Z GFS has snow at Short Pump while it is raining at MDT.  LOL 

How much for Cashtown 

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

Drove the back way home and saw some snow along the side of the road near Pine Grove Furnace. 

Southern Cumberland County along 233?

1 minute ago, canderson said:

Are we losing the weekend rain storm entirely? 

I saw Fri night and again Sunday 

4 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

I always respected Channel 8 as it was the only VHF channel. Growing up as a kid in NYC and PHL area in the 80s, only the “off channels” were on UHF.

Showing my age, lol!


.

I like the news station that’s calling for the most snow.   Just like the models.   

9 minutes ago, paweather said:

WGAL winter forecast tonight at 7 

WHTM had theirs earlier.  Average snow 30-40” with cold early and warm later.  Also increased risk of mixed events 

2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

A chilly 19 here this AM. 

17

12 minutes ago, wkd said:

Maybe move the board to the top of the existing snow after each 6 hr measurement? 

100% correct.   For larger snows, keep snow board at the top of existing snow pack to avoid a “stadium effect” and inflation of accumulated snow.    
 

Let me add, I’m not doubting the big numbers posted.  Just wanted to post the correct way to measure.  

3 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

A comparison for those who can't remember the event: https://www.weather.gov/ctp/snowfallTotals16Nov2018

9.0 vs 0.8   No comparison for me.  Congrats to those who cashed in.  

Just now, paweather said:

A good starter pregame event!

Yes thanks to all the trackers and believers for bringing this one home.  

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

I was not paying attention, but we switched back to a pouring rain and back up to 33. 

I’m rain now as well 

2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I bet Blue Ridge is 1-2" at this point.  I know the road up to high rock is (grass/sides). 

I bet.  You can get to 1800ft by high rock before the guarded area starts 

5 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

How’s it looking up in Biglerville?

Need to get west to find higher totals.   I’m heading that way later.   

14 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Back to mainly rain in Carroll valley, 32. Coating on grass and rooftops, some edges on roads (mainly from sleet&mix)

0.8” so far. I was at split shots bar.  Going on a road trip to find the 2” jackpot.   

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

How much Candy did you snag? 

I’m at the bar below the candy.  3 lagers so far