Snowlover11

Way drier than 12z brutal dry slot up to nyc

Always

4-8am Sunday Morning

Yeah can definitely adjust come warning time.

Watches up URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 1226 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic- Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk- Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 1226 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Precipitation could mix with sleet and freezing rain for a time Sunday night especially closer to the coast. Potential for snow accumulation of 6 to 12 inches, with localized accumulations over 12 inches possible. * WHERE...All of southeast New York, northeast New Jersey, and southern Connecticut. * WHEN...From late Saturday night through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below one quarter mile in heavy snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons should consider delaying all travel from Sunday into Monday. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. &&

So based on what we are seeing expect 0-20”. So much doom and gloom for what’s going to be our biggest storm in years. People need to step off the ledge. We are less than 3 days from flakes flying.

The closet the mixing gets on the gfs atleast based on those images is like toms river.

Plus who the hell takes the 84Hr nam seriously? We never have. Again could be right, could be wrong. I wouldn’t get all caught up on final solutions till 00z friday or even Saturday m.

Lol so we riding the nam? Not saying its wrong but making a call off one model is a bit silly.

Man Nam is torchy.

It wouldn’t be a legit winter storm if we didn’t have a NAMing.

A decent chance, if guidance holds as is, definitely a 60%+

I dont know why people are panicking. 6z runs looked pretty damn good to me.

6:30 ish

You see 6z? Lol. 12-20”+

Watches flying all over in VA, PA, NJ, NY.

Correct usually 48 hrs in advance.

Once again 10-15”

Lmao

GFS was always the outlier/suppressed so yes it might be south compared to tge rest of the suite. Although 00gfs is a bomb thus far.

Icon!

No way in hell we see 20:1 ratios, Yes it will be cold but the max i see is 15:1, maybe a short period at 18:1? During the height of the storm but that’s pushing it.

Agreed feeling good here. Mixing does get pretty close but by that time we are sitting on 10-16”.

High of 30F. Snowpack holding strong. Although tomorrow’s 40F will likely destroy it.

Euro gets sleet up to westchester county, after a big thump. 8”+ in and around the city. 10-15” NW of the city