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12 hours ago, Terpeast said:

FYI:

pns25-41_RRFS_legacy_model_cessation.pdf

To save you a click, the topic is about "Soliciting Comments on Proposed Discontinuation of the North American Mesoscale (NAM) model and other Regional Modeling Systems to be Replaced by the Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS) through July 26, 2025."

One less model to make fun of.

Only 99 here. Beautiful day to walk in circles barefoot around a parking lot for 8 hours. Too bad I'm stuck indoors.

Nice cool breeze out there. Enjoy it, it maybe the last time in a while.

Looking at the current radar, the Hrrr busted pretty badly. It had a few discrete cells instead of a line like the nam and rgem had.

Just got a loud bolt out of nowhere here in Columbia.

Downpour, not a lot of thunder

The damage pics I've seen so far dont look too bad. Trees down, cars and houses still look fine.

1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said:

Just a casual foot is snow in Western CT on the Derps 

Power outage nightmare. Luckily it's been overdone on the southern part of the snow shield several times this year.  I think the nw hills will jackpot though.

hrrr and hrdps are nuts for western ct.

Not the radar I was expecting at 59 degrees

C giving it a C here in Columbia. About average snowfall was going to give it a B but I deducted an entire letter grade for 2/20.  

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Bad news- up to 29

Think that includes 8 from the dust storm highway crash.

56 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

The only time that happened in my brief lifetime was April...2014! The greatest wall-to-wall winter I cam remember that didn't given up even on April 1st, lol

April 2018 when I was up in CT at my parents house.

Getting windy with this line.

At least this one we know is going to miss cause it's only has support from one model and the pattern is horse poo.

We should be iut enjoying the snow and the last 10 pages of this thread should be an argument on how DCA could possibly only have 17 when surrounding areas have 24.

Gfs and Rgem have cut back amounts in SE VA in case this wasn't a sh!t show already. 

Edit: HRDPS is almost a total rug pull on 6"+ amounts in VA/NC Would be a very fitting ending to this Saga.

13 minutes ago, Ji said:

How is this missing us

https://x.com/_jwall/status/1892036767903068239?s=46&t=C005pd5HNg3Y-KhVU7n3VA

Get the confluence about 150 miles northeast and we'd phase the sheet out of that thing.

1 minute ago, RVAman said:

His entire map has bust all over it to be honest with you. 

Yeah but 4 or 5" in Richmond is okay. That dryslot may struggles to make 1" in some spots. Same in Delaware and Charlottesville. Brutal on a 6" forecast.

10 minutes ago, RVAman said:

He cut back but still has way too much west of Richmond in the Farmville dryslot. That area has bust written all over it.

5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Between Wednesday and a little Thursday… EURO gets DCA to a Kuchera inch. 
 

Gotta brime everywhere over .1".

7 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Just for prosperity. The run that the NAM completely caved, hard. Epically collapsed. As we all knew it would. It wasn't going to be incremental lol.

Kinda stinks when the NAM agrees with other models. It's like Cartman acting nice on Southpark. Who wants to watch that?

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

Fwiw

That's a wide range.

Going to be a fun battle, its the Ecmwf, Gfs. Cmc, rgem, Icon, hrdps,  ukmet, fv3 hires, Jma, Navgem and 3km Nam vs the 12km Nam, Brime Trucks and CVS.

8 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

How many times has the NAM scored a coup when it was on it's own?

None since it stpped being the ETA.