WishingForWarmWeather

18 minutes ago, canderson said:

Parents in NE Texas about to be in their 5th tornado warning in the past 4 weeks. That should get some award.

Goodness. I'm sorry to hear that. I'm sure they are getting very weary. My thoughts go out to you and them. 

9 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

NWS Fort Worh asked them for a verification, like @*IndyMeso* did.

 

But this is not the biggest ever confirmed, the Texas state record is 6.4 inches near Hondo in April 2022, Burkburnette had 6 inch hail in 2020.

That is very wild. 6.4 inch hail. 5.5 is nothing to sneeze at either, though! What a picture. 

11 minutes ago, *IndyMeso* said:

This was posted earlier when Fort Worth asked for verification.

https://twitter.com/pgbrown92/status/1514026414940561418?t=K-0vJR9mOMjgIRteVBi0rw&s=19

Thank you for sharing. Appreciate that.

36 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

5.5 inch hail has been confirmed in Salado, TX

Is there picture or video footage of this? How was it confirmed? Just curious, not doubting.

Quick question, and I'm sorry to ask - I did try to find this information on my own first. Does anyone have any idea on the timing of when the weather is supposed to get to the New Orleans area tomorrow? Even a guesstimate is fine. 

2 minutes ago, cheese007 said:

https://livestormchasing.com/

Thank you very much 

18 minutes ago, cheese007 said:

Brandon Clement's stream down south between Austin and San Antonio looking interesting

Hey there - what site do you use?

On 3/19/2022 at 9:29 PM, Iceresistance said:

You can experience the craziest weather (My Grandmother had to use the AC, then the Heater during the same day), have mostly rural views, & most of the time, you can see tornadoes coming from miles away.

 

And also, if you lived in Oklahoma long enough, your gut will tell you if really nasty storms are coming

Yeah, you're not lying. I lived there for 2 years, 8 seasons. The one summer I was there was the hottest summer on record of any city since they began keeping record (at least that is what all of the newspapers and meteorologists said). Then in the spring, I experienced 2 different tornados. One displaced me from my home, the other directly hit a hospital I was in with my 2 year old daughter getting her tonsils removed. Destroyed my car as well with baseball sized hail. Then, the winter of that same insane year came with massive ice storms, 3 different ones, and a huge blizzard. That was the 2nd year of me living there...the moment my lease was up I got the hell out of there. It was too wild for me. 

But, I definitely took that experience of the gut feeling with me. It'll never leave. Have you lived in OK before

Edit to say that I lived in Norman and then moved to Moore. 

4 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

I wished you stayed in Oklahoma . . . 

Why is that?

On 3/18/2022 at 3:29 PM, Powerball said:

@WishingForWarmWeather

Love your username! 

Thank you! I had put it as that when I was living in Oklahoma, there were so many ice and snow storms the one winter and all I could do was wish for some warmer weather. 

After that, I moved to Texas and answered my own prayers for warm weather, haha. Only two seasons there - summer and football. 

Now I'm in Tennessee with all 4 seasons, including snow again! Back to wishing for the warm weather. But, it is nice to have fall again!

3 minutes ago, Matthew70 said:

I would expect 1-2”.  More than that would be a nice surprise. Hopefully it is more for all of TN.

 

That's kind of what I've been assuming. Kids should be able to make a better snowman with these 2 inches than they were with the 7 inches last time. It was terrible snowman snow. It's just wild run to run the massive disparities. 

37 minutes ago, Dsty2001 said:

I just...these model runs are??!?!  At this point I'm about to stop looking at them, cause I think they are as confused as I am lmao

I'm ****ing baffled bro. Trying to figure out how much snow Clarksville area will get and

How long does the flight usually take? In response to Levi, NOAA says they left at 238aCST to head to Ida. Maybe it won't be a multi-hour gap as suggested.

Just now, MrFreeze6298 said:

What name the site

Here you go, this is a direct link to the Ida page: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/odt09L.html

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I was about to say, looks bordering cat 5 to me based on SAT presentation..

It is the worst possible time to lose yet another recon flight, that is for sure.

4 minutes ago, cstrunk said:

 

Well, losing a engine would certainly be a good reason to not fly into a Cat 4 'cane. But what are we doing? Flying WW2 planes into hurricanes? It's 2021 for crying out loud. This program needs more funding.

Yes, what is going on! These planes have numerous issues season after season! I don't understand...are they old? Is it because they take such a beating? Funding severely lacking? But what is the excuse then for the AF planes, one would imagine there's no lack of funding there?

These planes are so imperative to keeping people safe, I just do not understand why they continue to be plagued with issues.

I...what. I have no words. Yesterday was "there's no time, shelter in place". 24 hours out, it's this. This is gross incompetence. I can't even grasp this.

https://www.nola.com/news/hurricane/article_3ed55acc-077f-11ec-a4e6-9bfb7e7c286b.html

They're not opening contraflow and saying residents should shelter in place. 

They will open shelters of last resort but not yet sharing the location. 

This is heart breaking.

8 hours ago, aggiegeog said:

Reviewing models for both storms I say worst case DFW sees 0.5" QPF, meaning say 0.1" QPF as mix being 0.25" accumulation and 0.4" as snow at 10:1 being 4" accumulation. Most likely it is closer to 1" QPF with all as snow and at 14:1 ratio meaning 10 to 14" of snow. And of course even higher is possible. So say a range of 4 to 24".

Tyler could see 1.5 to 2" QPF but could lose 1/3 to mix and ratios more like 12:1. So 1 to 2" of ice and sleet along with 12 to 18" or snow. Worst case being 1" QPF and half lost to sleet being 1 to 2" sleet and 5" snow. Best case 2.5" QPF with 90% snow at 14:1 being 0.5 to 1" sleet and 30 to 36" snow. So say a range of 6 to 36".

 

 

What about Killeen, do you think?

34 minutes ago, Derecho! said:

I actually sort of checked out of the Laura threads right after landfall and missed discussion on why its surge was less than forecast...

But given enough forward speed, weakening on the shelf waters shouldn't lower the surge from Delta nearly as much as the winds, of course, presuming it's a fairly large storm with a large fetch. 

If I recall correctly, it wasn't. They found evidence of 17-18 foot surge, it's just the area was mainly uninhabited and Lake Charles was spared the worst of it.

Supposed photos from Abaco.

@mappy

CAPS, I believe, is the school he was at. Central Abaco Primary School.

3 minutes ago, Rjay said:

This is your first post