WeatherMonger

I agree, they can't even have a "school day" anymore, regardless of weather.

Commented before I read this post, but schools will still remain closed I'm sure.

They mentioned this in their PM AFD " For now, plan to maintain the Winter Storm Warning north of the Illinois River Valley due to these impacts and despite the bulk of the snow having already occurred there. At some point, this warning may be replaced with an advisory. Otherwise, the bulk of the Winter Storm Warning remains on track." They'd be damned if they do or damned if they don't. Schools won't reopen in the morning on 3 hours notice, most had already closed for both days due to the Blizzard Warning talk yesterday.

That's what she said too

Looks like they have calmed the winds a bit for tonight and tomorrow here. What I shoveled earlier just blew back in and erased it. Additional snow seems yo be going by the wayside as well, will end up at or just shy of 8". While I never thought 2 feet was going to happen which a lot of the models showed, I did think into the teens was possible until late last evening. Happy none the less, except for the shoveling. Using the 4 wheeler and plow tomorrow if winds are down, other wise mailman path and sidewalks until they do.

ILX seems a bit optimistic for the second round, probably cut those numbers in half, around I-72 IMO

Back at home, work let people leave if they wanted to. Have to be around 6" or so, drifting so bad be hard to get a good measurement. Shoveled a path from back door to yard and a small area in the grass for my dog. Roads were pretty bad, but no cars im ditches which for the first real snow of the year is impressive. Only vehicle I seen with problems was a road plow, was plowing an entrance to the state fairgrounds and must have git his front tire in a dip or hole, couldn't go forward or backward so must not have had much salt in the bed.

ILX keeps mentioning the possibility of a Blizzard Warning tomorrow. I know there's a lull expected later this afternoon/evening but have to wonder if they'll pull the trigger early? Definitely not 10:1 or lower ratios right now and gusty winds will keep snow blowing even during the lull in snow falling.

Starting to question how long my work can stay open today. They're not going to be able to keep caught up with the snow. Going to get all the fork lifts stuck.

Ripping right now

SREF plumes highest yet at 16.1

Not sure how much we have here, I'd guesstimate 2.5" or so, maybe 3? Surprising snow was quite powdery and wimd whipped, solid glaze of ice under it.

Just let the dog out to take a GFS and its raining harder than I thought it was. Work comes early so I'll see where we are in the morning.

I've lost my excitement from earlier, this is going to end up another, and typical, I-74 and north special.

Curious as to why some have said not to use Kuchera maps for totals? I'm not looking for a reason to inflate totals IMBY by any means, but when the snow starts here it will be 5, 6 or 7:1, for several hours and may even jump back down to those until temps really drop. Isn't there inflation in that using 10:1? I always thought Kuchera used lesser and better ratios for a more realistic number. I watched the beginnings of the 0Z HRRR rum comparing between the two and 10:1 was better than using Kuchera. I understand both maps are grain of salt and manual reviews needed(I'm not that smart ), but when I went through a GFS run using Bufkit output there were weird fluctuations in ratios throughout it as well. Been using the 10:1 maps when looking at totals, but they seem somewhat inflated at the beginning and somewhat low towards the end. Is that average start and finish enough to use that over Kuchera? Sorry for the long post during a model run

Good deal, appreciate it!

Here's the image, guess you have to use dynamic images

ILX in one of their graphics from 2 hours ago had a wide band of 12-18" from north of St. Louis to Havana NE to Kankee and Paris line. Peoria was 8-12" Can't submit the image though

What determines what size image you can post? Mine keeps changing, was 54.xx earlier and now only 10.79kb. Kind of annoying, not trying to spam with images.

I don't know if it is related or not, but airport here in springfield had a failure and no longer reporting from like 10 or 11 pm until 6am. Lincoln has an issue as well https://www.weather.gov/ilx/SPI_outage