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Everything posted by Solak
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Had one over this way as well... ...Summary... A brief tornado touched down 11 miles southwest of Clayton, in the Cleveland area of Johnston County, near the intersection of Cornwallis Road and Justin Drive and lifted near the intersection of Goldfield Drive and Justin Drive on July 23, 2019. Damage observed included minor shingle loss on several homes, numerous softwood trees snapped, and lawn furniture tossed a substantial distance. Damage is consistent with a brief tornado with maximum wind speeds of 80 to 90 mph.
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3 E Fuquay-Varina [Wake Co, NC] NWS STORM SURVEY reports TORNADO at 23 Jul, 2:34 PM EDT -- A BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN OCCURRED IN THE COMMUNITY OF WILLOW SPRINGS, NC ON JULY 23, 2019. THE DAMAGE CONSISTED OF A COMBINATION OF SNAPPED AND UPROOTED TREES, MINOR SIDING DAMAGE TO ONE HOME, AND NUMEROUS FENCES BLOWN DOWN. THE TYPES AND DIAMETERS OF THE AFFECTED TREES ALONG WITH THE DEGREE OF DAMAGE SUGGEST WIND SPEEDS OF 75 TO 85 MPH.
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Recon is checking it out this morning.
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Was thinking the same thing. At least they're predicting a 'decent' amount of rain. From this morning's AFD Rainfall amounts in the 1 to 1.5 inch range will be possible during this 12 to 18 hour period, with higher amounts possible in areas that see training or slow moving thunderstorms
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5 day outlook - 20% chance 1. A tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the Central Bahamas is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slight development is possible over the next few days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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RAH Due to the strong height falls and a slow moving front, expect the potential for several waves of low pressure to track over the region Tue-Wed. Several large convective clusters can be expected to affect the region from time to time. QPF of 1 to locally 3 inches continues to be forecast. Temperatures will not be an issue by Tuesday and Wednesday as some areas of the Piedmont may stay in the 70s during the day! The main hazard after the heat will probably turn to flash flood potential late Monday through mid-week.
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NWS RaleighVerified account @NWSRaleigh 8s8 seconds ago The latest @NWSSPC outlook has upgraded areas along and east of US-1 to a "Marginal Risk" (1 of 5) for severe weather this afternoon and evening. Isolated damaging wind gusts from downbursts are possible from the strongest cells. Flash flooding is also a concern. #NCwx
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NWS SPCVerified account @NWSSPC 7m7 minutes ago 7:44am CDT #SPC Day1 Outlook Slight Risk: across montana/western north dakota http://go.usa.gov/YWq5 ...Carolinas/southern Virginia... A moist summertime air mass will remain across the region with ample insolation coincident with relatively cloud-free skies early in the day. As the air mass quickly destabilizes and becomes moderately unstable, scattered thunderstorms will develop/increase through the afternoon initially near the mountains/Blue Ridge and near a weak surface trough across the region. While tropospheric winds will remain weak and mid-level lapse rates are poor, diurnally steepening low-level lapse and ample Precipitable Water could yield at least a few instances of wet microbursts and locally damaging winds.
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Here's something just a little bit different... National Hurricane CenterVerified account @NHC_Atlantic 29m29 minutes ago NHC is monitoring a system over the W Tennessee Valley that is forecast to move over the NE Gulf of Mexico in a few days, where a low pressure area could form. Some gradual development is then possible as it drifts west through midweek. Keep up to date at http://hurricanes.gov
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Weather Wes Hohenstein 47 mins · Sunday's small thunderstorm that moved through Wake County was very powerful & sure did cause a lot of problems. Proof that we need to take all storms serious & that size doesn't matter! Was probably a micorburst that produced winds over 60-70 mph! #ncwx 21
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We were put in a marginal risk earlier today. Wow, though - that's quite a report you have in the observation thread!
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Brad PanovichVerified account @wxbrad 3m3 minutes ago The long range guidance is pointing to the heat cranking up for the 4th. #blowtorch #cltwx #ncwx #scwx
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NWS GSPVerified account @NWSGSP 14m14 minutes ago Latest update from @NWSSPC shows a significant increase in severe t-storm risk this afternoon. An Enhanced Risk means numerous storms producing winds in excess of 60mph are now possible across all of Upstate SC, northeast GA, and parts of NC. Please stay aware! #GAwx #NCwx #SCwx
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That first MCS really had wheels! Kansas City to Charleston and Savannah in less than 24 hours.
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< Previous MD Mesoscale Discussion 1186 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0902 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019 Areas affected...eastern TN into western NC...SC...northern GA...central AL and northeast MS Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 220202Z - 220400Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential will likely persist into the overnight hours and a downstream severe thunderstorm watch is likely to the south/southeast of WW 419. DISCUSSION...A bow echo continues to shift east/southeast across KY/TN this evening. Western portions of this line continue to weaken as outflow surges southward ahead of the line into northern MS. It remains unclear how far south and east the bow echo will continue, however, a strong cold pool remains in the wake of the line and ample MLCAPE remains southeast of the line from middle/eastern TN into AL/GA before decreasing toward the western Carolinas. The latest VWP from OHX does indicate some weakening of the rear-inflow jet compared to 1-2 hours ago, but still showing 50-60 kt between 1-3 km ARL. The most recent measured gusts have generally been between 40-50 kt with many reports of trees down and other damage. Given a favorable downstream environment where strong instability and a very moist boundary layer persists beneath steep midlevel lapse rates and modestly increasing deep layer shear overnight, some threat for damaging wind is expected to extend into parts of northern/central AL into northern GA and perhaps the western Carolinas and a watch likely will be needed for at least some portions of the MCD area in the next 1-2 hours.
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That's quite a gust!!! ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR THE NASH COUNTY THUNDERSTORM WIND EVENT... .An NWS survey team has determined that straight-line winds were the primary cause of extensive tree and minor structural damage to the North Carolina Wesleyan College Sports complex on April 20th... Location...2 SSW Battleboro in Nash County, North Carolina Date...June 20th, 2019 Estimated Time...4:20 PM EDT Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...85-95 mph Maximum Path Width...650 yards Path Length...0.4 miles Beginning Lat/Lon...36.01/-77.78 Ending Lat/Lon...36.01/-77.78 * Fatalities...0 * Injuries...0 ...Summary... Strong, straight-line thunderstorm winds from a microburst impacted areas near the intersection of Thomas A Betts Parkway and Bishop Road. Upon impact, 85 to 95 mph winds quickly spread in a fan-like pattern primarily northeast of the original impact point. Damage from the wind gusts ranged from nearly 100 uprooted and snapped pine trees and minor structural damage to the sport complex outbuildings. This includes the total loss of an anchored steel score board, significant damage to a cinder block dugout which included a primary wall collapse, and the uplift, transport, and destruction of a viewing tower near the Football complex. Minor damage to fencing and other temporary structures was also common place, with little to no damage present to nearby sturdy buildings.
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Nice grab, eyewall!
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60K+ w/o power now. (SC/NC - Duke Power)
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32K and climbing without power (Duke Power) in NC/SC
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2 NNE Durham [Durham Co, NC] EMERGENCY MNGR reports TSTM WND DMG at 3:28 PM EDT -- REPORTS OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN DOWNTOWN DURHAM.
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And a few more of these... Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Caswell County in north central North Carolina... South central Pittsylvania County in south central Virginia... Southwestern Halifax County in south central Virginia... * Until 300 PM EDT
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Got a feeling there will be a lot of reports like this throughout the rest of the day/night. 1 SSE Belews Creek [Forsyth Co, NC] FIRE DEPT/RESCUE reports TSTM WND DMG at 2:04 PM EDT -- SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN AND IN ROADWAYS ACROSS THE WINSTON- SALEM AREA.
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Further South, too