Solak

Also until 10:00PM

Enhanced area has expanded. NWS SPC‏Verified account @NWSSPC 3m3 minutes ago 7:51am CDT #SPC Day1 Outlook Enhanced Risk: southern va to eastern ga http://go.usa.gov/YWq5

As of 500 AM Thursday... A severe weather event is expected to unfold across the Carolinas this afternoon, with at least a couple of significant wind (65 kts or greater) and hail (2" or greater) reports possible. ------------------------------------------- 645 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Thunderstorms are expected to intensify over the western Carolinas through midday. These storms will subsequently spread generally east northeastward across central NC this afternoon and evening, with some merging into fast-moving clusters with corridors of damaging wind gusts, and others remaining discrete with large hail. Isolated wind gusts in excess of 70 mph, and instances of hail larger than two inches in diameter, will be possible. Additionally, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The timing for severe weather appears greatest across the Piedmont between 2 PM and 7 PM, and across the Coastal Plain and Sandhills between 4 PM and 9 PM.

It's gonna be May all over again! Lows in the 69-73 range, with highs in the mid to upper 80s NW, and generally 90-93 elsewhere. Even hotter weather with a bit lesser chances of PM thunderstorms may develop next weekend, if the upper ridge gets stronger over portions of the SE states, as some of the latest models suggest.

It's GFS-FV3 showtime. National Weather Service‏Verified account @NWS 3h3 hours ago .@NOAA’s flagship weather model is undergoing a significant upgrade today to improve future forecasts of severe weather, winter storms, and tropical cyclones. Read more at https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-upgrades-us-global-weather-forecast-model … #GFS

NWS WPC‏Verified account @NWSWPC 12m12 minutes ago A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for parts of the South Carolina/Georgia coast through tomorrow afternoon where up to 3 inches of rain is possible.

Brad Panovich‏Verified account @wxbrad 9m9 minutes ago We had a possible tornado touchdown near Ellenboro at 5:10 pm. I have some confirmed damage reports and a very short lived couplet on radar. #cltwx #ncwx #scwx

Lost power for almost 2 hours. 2 rounds of storms, 1.60" =/-, and the rainy stuff is still a few days away! We're gonna be

Mesoscale Discussion 984 < Previous MD Next MD > Mesoscale Discussion 0984 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Wed Jun 05 2019 Areas affected...South and North Carolina through southern and central Virginia...Maryland and Delaware Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 051652Z - 051845Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

...GA/SC/NC/VA... Another convectively aided shortwave trough is noted over eastern KY/TN. This feature will track across the mountains and into southern VA and the Carolinas this afternoon. A very moist and moderately unstable air mass is present over this region, with sufficient daytime heating to help initiate storms. 12z CAMs are consistent in developing multiple lines of storms across this area later today. Sufficient westerly flow aloft and degree of CAPE suggest a risk of damaging winds and hail with the activity. Organized and occasionally severe storms are possible as far south as eastern GA today.

Brad Panovich‏Verified account @wxbrad 4m4 minutes ago 12:30 pm ET: Updated Severe Weather Outlook. #cltwx #ncwx #scwx

https://www.nbcdfw.com/weather/stories/Texas-Leads-US-in-Tornado-Count-for-2019-510667461.html

NWS SPC‏Verified account @NWSSPC 3m3 minutes ago 11:44am CDT #SPC_MD 0971 , #scwx #gawx, https://go.usa.gov/xmM2j

RAH: .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 400 AM Tuesday... ...Confidence increasing of a multi-day heavy rain threat across the Southeast Friday through early next week... A 4 to 5 day period of anomalously high PWATS of 2.0" or more(potentially enhanced by tropical remnants of the disturbance in the Bay of Campeche) during which a stalled frontal zone will bisect the area followed by increasing cyclonic flow aloft and then the arrival of strong synoptic lift with the upper level trough and cold front moving into the area will result in a multi-day heavy rainfall threat across the region with a cumulative 2-4" of rain possible.

All depends on what your idea of severe is, I guess.

It's a shame that area is sort of in no-mans-land... equidistant, and too far from all 3 relevant radar sites.

That escalated quickly from 6:20 until now. Had some 1/2" hail, and over 1.50" rain and counting.

That's a good sized watch box

Getting a nice view of cloud top lightning from the storms........40 miles off to the Southeast!

For Friday, 5/31/19 NWS SPC‏Verified account @NWSSPC 8m8 minutes ago 12:34pm CDT #SPC Day2 Outlook Slight Risk: over a portion of the upper midwest and great lakes as well as eastern virginia into north carolina http://go.usa.gov/YW34

Brad's touting the Death Ridge. "This (Wednesday) will be the coolest day we're going to see for a long time and I'm not kidding," said chief meteorologist Brad Panovich. "Probably the coolest day we see until Autumn." Good writeup on the upcoming heat. https://www.wcnc.com/article/weather/panovich-death-ridge-will-bring-intense-heat-with-possible-record-highs-to-charlotte-area/275-aed8e0c4-1049-4489-b04a-bac10c9e4199?fbclid=IwAR3Xcq-6PwBL6qDaZRz5ZV6c3nJkKPwNW7YA1uWxdkb4TlCRzc7BUBx4dmo

We've had them around here since early April.

I *think* I read where there was a similar streak from 1950 - 1954.

Not in our area, but this is pretty crazy for the TX/OK area later today...