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ErinInTheSky

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Everything posted by ErinInTheSky

  1. ErinInTheSky
    I see we lost the HRRR last night. But I gained the GFS.
  2. ErinInTheSky
    Yeah. I mean, there are ensemble members that shut us all out, and there are ensemble members that look like the GFS 3 days ago.
  3. ErinInTheSky
    I don't know how useful or useless GEFS ensembles are at super short range but it's crazy how much variation exists in the ensembles over the next 40 hours.
  4. ErinInTheSky
    I'm hugging HRRR. HRRR is best model. I'm breaking up with the Euro. Seriously though, yummu. WB HRRR. Usual caveat that these maps are misleading, but for me, my totals usually are much closer to these than the "Snow depth" maps as I tend to bust high in my microclimate in Germantown.
  5. ErinInTheSky
    I am just going to pretend the Euro doesn't exist.
  6. ErinInTheSky
    30% chance of a foot of snow in Germantown? I'll take it.
  7. ErinInTheSky
    I think we’ve got every bit of good news/bad news we are going to get from models and it’s onto now casting. I’m hopeful IMBY in Germantown I’m going to see something good. I tend to bust high here as much as I bust low. 10” is my hope, 6” will make me happy though. Less than that, I’ll be disappointed.
  8. ErinInTheSky
    WB
  9. ErinInTheSky
    I went from 4.5" to 10.5" in Germantown on this run.
  10. ErinInTheSky
    Nothing changes for me in Germantown. Still somewhere between. 1 and 13 inches lol.
  11. ErinInTheSky
    Once again, in Germantown, it looks like I'll be somewhere between 1" and 13" lol...
  12. ErinInTheSky
    Sounds about perfectly right. Like. It seems like the Germantown forecast is :throwshandsup.gif:
  13. ErinInTheSky
    I have absolutely 0 idea what to expect in Germantown right now...
  14. ErinInTheSky
    HAPPY HOUR EURO!!!! WB
  15. ErinInTheSky
    No lie, when I moved here, I picked a place in the NW burbs at 500' elevation for a reason.
  16. ErinInTheSky
  17. ErinInTheSky
    GFS just served us all drinks on the house.
  18. ErinInTheSky
    If it plays out it will be the most snow I've ever seen in my life.
  19. ErinInTheSky
    A small improvement for my backyard.
  20. ErinInTheSky
    Tracking this one in Germantown is fun. The margins between mix and 4” and colossal smashing 18” all cut within miles of me.
  21. ErinInTheSky
    Tracking this one in Germantown is fun. The margins between mix and 4” and colossal smashing 18” all cut within miles of me.
  22. ErinInTheSky
    Euro isn't disaster on the back end.
  23. ErinInTheSky
    I'm a kid in a candy store right now y'all. Like, I moved here in 2016. All but one of my winters has been <12" total. I have never experienced a legitimate, shut everything down snowstorm in my life. My divorce is on Wednesday. I've been waiting for it to go through for 2 years. The custody decision will happen via zoom Wednesday. If Wednesday is the day I finally get my snowstorm, I may get custody of my child and then my first major winter storm on the same day.
  24. ErinInTheSky
    GFS and Euro are almost identical right now at 120h in terms of total snowfall. I'm so hopeful this pans out, I really want my first legitimate snow storm since moving here in 2016. Maybe this is the year.
  25. ErinInTheSky
    Here's some tasty Kuchera
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