buckeye

1 hour ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Good thing my employer doesn't know how many hours of productivity I have lost over the past several seasons tracking phantom storms. 

Seriously would be less embarrassing getting busted surfing midget porn verses having to explain 10,000 weather board posts.

59 minutes ago, iluvsnow said:

Crappy spring in coming. Where was this MJO in the dead of winter? What an amplitude in Phase 8!!!!

It's not gonna be just the usual kick in the nutz....it's gonna be a kick in the nutz with steel toe boots thanks to all  these teaser 70+ degree days we've been getting.

5 minutes ago, Cary67 said:

I think Alek is right. We may be transitioning to more of a central IL/St. Louis winter climo. The events become more marginal temp wise in nature,with more thread the needle set ups, and increasingly narrow windows of winter like weather. Over the last few years what's amazing is DTW's knack to cash in on whatever meager opportunities present themselves. The UP and MSP benefit in not on increasing temps but increasing moisture as winter retreats northward

It's gonna be hell for @michsnowfreak as they transition to CMH climo      OTOH I'm looking forward to Nashville climo setting in here .

Btw, I admit I'm jel over whomever gets the 6 hr thumping the models seem to be throwing out there, strictly because I like extreme snowfall rates.   But I'm only jel of that window of time.  Other than that you can keep the 40s and slop fest following the thump.   

We’re having an early summers evening thunderstorm 

7 minutes ago, WestMichigan said:

What about March 7-8, 2008?

That was like a January storm, it actually stayed very cold for quite awhile.  Truly the exception.    That and 1993 , but we were only fringed by that one.

47 minutes ago, pondo1000 said:

Well, it’s official. February 2023 was the LEAST snowiest on record for Columbus with a TRACE. Easily a D- in my book for this winter. ONLY reason not an F in my book is b/c of white Christmas. So, in light of that, GO F YOURSELF MOTHER NATURE!!!

Can’t wait for a miserable spring soccer season too. Yippee!!!

You fellow Ohio’ins take care of yourself & hope to talk a lot more snow next winter!

Well at least we weren't the only ones with a brutal February futility record....so there's that I guess.    Also JB is banging the "one of the coldest March's on record"  bongos, so there's that 

To me, and maybe it's my age, but what's worse then the lack of snow is winter dragging it's weak ass into march and April giving us below normal temps and periodic white rain....YET AGAIN  

One hell of an impressive nw trend with this one.   Reminds me of the old'n days when at 7 days out it's crushing DC, 5 days out CMH, 4 days out Detroit, and now who knows.

Tornado sirens blaring….probably gonna happen again with the next storm.  Crazy wx

This one is a tough one.  Lots of moving parts including the storm coming thru the lakes tomorrow and the lead wave later in the week.   There’s also the placement and timing of the pieces to the north that will determine how much the ser can be kept in check or allowed to pump.   
The bad news for us folks in the southern flanks of the forum is the gfs wants to bring this too far north for us, the good news is most of the other globals are at a perfect track.   
The winner stripe is going to have a huge prize but it’ll be narrow.  Either way I’d rather roll the dice with a powerful storm and risk the wtod vs. left hoping for a strung out weaker storm and smaller prize….especially this time of year.  Go big or go home 

euro laughs at gfs

has a strung out southern POS before the next cutter develops.   Gonna be hard to get cold into the game when there's no high pressure in Canada, only a bunch of LPs dancing all around.

1 hour ago, dilly84 said:

The joe bastardi has me dying lol. Do you still subscribe to his blog? Lol

 

i have my usual 3 month subscription that I'll end in March.   Kinda embarrassed to admit

12z gfs fits my collage nicely

16 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

it's 80 in D.C. today, they've had 18 60+days this winter, and they have 0.4" of snow on the season.

perfection.

God love 'em.   4 months and hundreds and hundreds of pages on tracking and analyzing models and potential snow....   and .4" to show for it.    

12 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

I wonder if they are using always coop data which always runs low/missing data for some areas which brings the curve down. It's definitely inaccurate in southeast MI

Detroit
2019-20: 43.7" (-1.3)
2020-21: 44.9" (-0.1)
2021-22: 47.1" (+2.1")
2022-23: 19.3 (-12.5") thru 2/15
Cumulative -11.8

Flint
2019-20: 53.7" (+1.6)
2020-21: 48.6" (-3.5)
2021-22: 60.5" (+8.4)
2022-23: 28.9" (-8.5") thru 2/15
Cumulative -2.0
 

FYI...this is not meant for snow

2 minutes ago, dilly84 said:

Official. Stick a fork in er, it's done. May be the worst winter I can ever remember. Who's ready for the torch? I know I am. Let's get to the 60s and 70s and stay there.

Sucky winter but definitely not our worst ever.  In fact I often judge a winter by whether there were any memorable events.  I will always remember that insane front centered on Xmas eve.  -8 at 1pm in the afternoon on Xmas eve.  I have not seen that kind of cold during the day since the infamous Jan 94.   Almost 30 years.  

We’ve had many winters where we hit avg or even above snowfall without a single event to remember them by.  Also we had a white Xmas, we ended up scoring the most synoptic with that event in the forum outside les.  We also got a nice over performer (while I was on vacation).   We’ve had bigger ratters then this…by far.

clouds will small breaks, low 50's, damp.    

10 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Appropriately shaded sh*t brown…only thing missing is the squatting big dog

We still get them... it's just that they are now drippers instead of clippers.

29 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

lol

 

53 this morning….loving it!   Tomorrow we have an enhanced severe threat.   Feb is definitely rock’n! 

11 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Wishful thinking again.

 

Does @hardypalmguy get complimentary breakfast with that free rent in your head?

14 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Not really. We've gotten far more advisory and warning criteria snowstorms than Indiana and Ohio. It's the model fantasy storms that turn to dust that annoy us all. One of these days a storm is not gonna shear out and it will be like the boy who cried wolf. No one will believe it and someone will get absolutely buried.

and it’s not like we’re south of you either…

17 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Did he start getting all religious and philosophical Iike he does when he is wrong 

he said he nailed it at 10mb

2 hours ago, luckyweather said:

looking like a toasty morch on tap lol 

Ahhh yes, the sswe, aka the last vestige of a weenie

Officially hit 70 today at the airport.

Impressive.    

by the way, @michsnowfreak , the first step is acceptance.   

first high wind warning that actually was warranted here.   The steel and glass door to my office just blew open....scared the crap out of me.