buckeye

moderate KS here in lewis center

ILN will never issue a WSW again

that's one hell of a revision

you guys are slipping... no comments on the 18z nam coming in colder??

I don't think that was unexpected. I would bet once the rate picks up you'll change

All models basically take a low from AL/GA to central WV..... I'll sit back and take my chances with that.

ALL TOGETHER NOW: it's colder....it's warmer...it's north...it's south...it's colder...it's warmer...it's north...it's south....we're fcked...we're good...we're fcked...we're good.... You guys gotta stop hanging on every meso run and panel.....storm's gonna do what storm's gonna do, especially when things are so close. Just enjoy watching it unfold....

Thanks...that Weather.cod site looks good

What do you guys use for a good radar site? I can't stand the NWS update....wth were they thinking?

In all honesty I was kind of relieved.by the nam.. I thought it was going to do one of its jumps like taking the low to CLE. Man....talk about living on the edge, these models are cutting Franklin county in half lol.

I was trying to recall the last time we were forecasted to get heavy snow and it turned into a sleetfest and I keep going back to Feb 2007, but I'm sure we've had it happen since then. I remember that one because we were forecasted to get a foot the morning of the storm... It was a huge screw job.

No changing in the middle .....got to ride the calls come pellets or pingers! I'm sticking to mine. If the precip comes in as heavy snow, I think it'll stay mainly snow. If it let's up in intensity then it could changeover.

I think my progression was TWC...Wright Weather....eastern....AmWx. Back in the day we didn't have geographic subforums.... The storm threads were like the wild west

Yea that one last year sucked but we did get some redemption towards the end. That was more of a dryslot situation where we ended up with hours of drizzle. This one looks to have pretty heavy rates with the main low coming in.

yup, 25 years plus with some of us.

I'd draw my sleet line from about Cambridge to Chillicothe, but wouldn't rule out some pingers in Columbus

Man you guys got the patient buried and embalmed before the operation Food for thought...the anecdotal kind 1. When aren't we on the line? I mean that's how we roll. 2. More often than not, these nail biters that we follow every last model run on tend to work out. Feb 2014, Dec. 04. Ironically the ones we think we're safe on are the ones that punch us in the gut, Feb 07 comes to mind. 3. This storm has another one right on its ass, which favors more progression. 4. First true arctic press involved all season. 5. Expansive snow cover over the entire state. Relax, this is what makes this hobby so interesting.

I would say the nam lost a bit of cred. When a model is swinging like a pendulum it's probably time to discount it. Pretty much radar time now anyways. Not changing my prediction....but Im fully prepared to go down with the s.s. euro if we hit a sleetberg.

I'm going all in. This just seems like one of those that could over perform. John Glenn airport 10.2" NW subs 11-12".

Looked good to me....

Yup, it's a classic 3C snowstorm set up.....assuming the slp track doesn't start shifting.

rgem looks good. Leaving out the nam current moves, all models show a low going from the Gulf to E. TN with a fresh 1030+ high in the banana position to our NW. I couldn't draw a better scenario for a Columbus winter storm.

12z rgem will be very telling if it shows support with the nam. Rgem likes amping things too.

Yea we'll have to see if this is the nam being the nam or if other models follow. It would be reminiscent of the old days when we expected this to happen. Just lately everything has trended south and weaker, in fact our most recent screw job was a result of models being too far north. Ironically this is the first storm this season where we have a fresh arctic air mass pushing in too.

I decided to go into lurking-only mode back in early spring. Just needed to separate myself from here for awhile. Didn't like who I became being sucked into a thread and a topic that in my opinion has no place here. This is where we come to share our illogical and unique passion for weather. It's the only place we can do it. That's ALL this place should ever be. That's my opinion and the last I will say about it So on a lighter note, I did plan to start posting around Xmas but then we actually got a snowstorm on Xmas eve/day and then more snow, and now we sit with a snow cover and a potential decent storm coming in on top. I told pondo and dilly that since I stopped posting we were having the best winter in years and I was afraid I might jinx it. So let me apologize in advance to my Ohio brethren if this turns into a 1-3" turd now that I'm back. As far as the later week threat, that's always been tenuous, so I ain't taking the blame if that washes us out.