buckeye

at least the wet slop portion of this has been pretty light thus far.... I don't feel like we're wasting good qpf on slop...yet. If it were snow it'd probably be pixie or light

SW Ohio should do great with the deform...now that it seems to be evolving into an orientation more SW to NE

Whose gonna counsel me?

You should be in great shape if you're in Coshocton. Hell, that might be in the bullseye.

It was ugly, I only glanced and closed it. Fck that model

True. Light sleet in the Ville

Love your optimism....we need some

This is a very accurate precip type radar. You're all gonna need one lol http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25ne.html

Ummmm, I'll take the under on that. That would require one hell of a defo thump. It's looking like one hell of a gradient is going to set up right thru central Ohio. Someone could also get stuck under hours of heavy sleet in the defo band while 1mile north its pounding snow. Hope you've all filled your Xanax scripts

I looked at the ncep site and it looks like the 850s get north of us

That map is unreal. 12" in the extreme w. Part of Franklin county ....0 in extreme southeast county Part of me almost wants to see something that crazy

Looks like the HP/cold press isn't as bully as projected. SLP track still looks the same though. More often than not the cold presses more than forecasted...doesnt look like it this time.

Soooooooo....Looks like sleet and rain will be a bigger ingredient than we thought... (If you choose to believe the models now). Euro shaved off about 3", assuming that's all snow to begin with. I didn't even look at the other ones. HRRR is a hot mess trying to figure out what's falling when and where... As Jay mentioned, any appreciable snow will be dependent on the deform band this evening and we hope for a surprise. So in other words, everything's on track for another typical central Ohio winter'storm'.

Crazy model ranges for only 12hr out.

So this is how the hrrr sees it using Franklin county. - snow arrives around 9am - mixes changes to plain rain around 11 up to the Delaware county line. - rains for about 6 hours and Dilly cancels the rest of winter and Pondo threatens to move back to philly () - around 5pm rain transitions quickly from sleet to snow and hammer time from 6pm on. It'll be interesting to see how this all unfolds. I think low end is 4" high end is 12". Would not be surprised if someone goes under a blizzard warning tomorrow night.

Gfs has the app runner next week similar to the euro

Good point. The first is associated with waa, then like you said, the deform when the low passes underneath. March08 was a 2 parter as well. Snowed all day Friday then a several hour lull in the evening before it hammered again. That was the portion they hoisted blizz warnings for.

When you get rates like that I guarantee the snow line will most likely be much further south...think January 2014

Rgem moved south with the snow band...good sign there isn't going to be some wholesale move north on the models.

Nothing has happened yet. Relax

We're fine...the king signed and sealed this baby at 12z.....the rest is noise. Time to fire up the radar and crack a beer....

Welcome to the edge with the rest of us.

Where are you located?

The 3k at least makes more sense with itself.

I cannot ever recall a winterstorm that starts as frozen, changes to rain for a few hours, and then changes back to snow for the last several hours. If we start with snow I doubt seriously we change to plain rain, It would be a first for me.