kayman

The storms in Southeastern Louisiana and Southern Mississippi are starting to produce confirmed tornadoes. Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service New Orleans LA 300 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 MSC005-282115- /O.COR.KLIX.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-241228T2115Z/ Amite MS- 300 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CST FOR NORTHWESTERN AMITE COUNTY... At 300 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located 7 miles northeast of Gloster, or 13 miles northwest of Liberty, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Amite County. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3135 9067 3116 9095 3125 9103 3135 9098 TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 212DEG 29KT 3128 9097 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ TJS We need to keep our eyes on these cells as well.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 300 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 TXC071-282115- /O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0061.000000T0000Z-241228T2115Z/ Chambers TX- 300 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CST FOR EAST CENTRAL CHAMBERS COUNTY... At 259 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 7 miles southwest of Stowell, or 13 miles southwest of Hamshire, moving east at 35 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. The tornado will be near... Winnie and Stowell around 305 PM CST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 2964 9448 2973 9450 2982 9436 2965 9435 TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 251DEG 31KT 2969 9443 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ 03 PDS Tornado Warning now for eastern Chambers and Jefferson counties, TX.

Yeah we are lucky indeed. Unfortunately, this storm is headed towards the south/southeastern side of the Beaumont-Port Arthur area in the next hour. Hopefully it will weaken by the time it reaches those portions of Jefferson and Orange counties.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 249 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 TXC071-282100- /O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0060.000000T0000Z-241228T2100Z/ Chambers TX- 249 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CST FOR CENTRAL CHAMBERS COUNTY... At 248 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located 10 miles north of Gilchrist, or 19 miles southwest of Hamshire, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Chambers County. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 2960 9461 2971 9464 2975 9460 2962 9449 TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 245DEG 24KT 2966 9454 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ 03

The Southeastern TX long-track tornadic supercell that has spanned from Brazoria, (southeastern) Harris, Galveston, and now Chambers counties in Texas. It seems to not be letting up and will continue east-northeast headed into Jefferson County, TX into the Beaumont-Port Arthur metro area in the next hour.

Tornado Warning Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 231 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 TXC071-282100- /O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0060.000000T0000Z-241228T2100Z/ Chambers TX- 231 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CST FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHAMBERS COUNTY... At 230 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located 7 miles northeast of Smith Point, or 13 miles southeast of Beach City, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Oak Island. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 2959 9446 2955 9471 2964 9474 2975 9460 TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 246DEG 31KT 2961 9468 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ 03 The Galveston Bay supercell is back on the ground in rural Chambers County, TX with a debris ball on the correlation coefficient of the KHGX (NWS Houston) NEXRAD velocity and reflectivity

Tornadoes Probability of 2 or more tornadoes High (>95%) Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes High (80%) Wind Probability of 10 or more severe wind events High (90%) Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots High (80%) Hail Probability of 10 or more severe hail events Mod (40%) Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches Mod (30%) Combined Severe Hail/Wind Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events High (>95%)

Tornado Warning Tornado Warning TXC071-282100- /O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0060.241228T2016Z-241228T2100Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 216 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 The National Weather Service in League City has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Eastern Chambers County in southeastern Texas... * Until 300 PM CST. * At 214 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Smith Point, or 10 miles east of La Porte, moving northeast at 20 mph. This storm has previously produced a tornado. Another is likely ongoing, but cannot be confirmed due to no debris over the waters. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Smith Point around 220 PM CST. Anahuac around 235 PM CST. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Oak Island. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! If on or near Galveston bay, get away from the water and move to safe shelter immediately. If you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Severe thunderstorms can produce large capsizing waves, even on small bodies of water. Move into dock and seek safe shelter now! Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm. && LAT...LON 2959 9446 2950 9484 2957 9489 2983 9467 TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 230DEG 18KT 2957 9483 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ 03 The Galveston Bay supercell headed back over land and it is likely still producing a tornadic waterspout and now likely going to be back to being a tornado.

KHOU Terminal Doppler velocity reflectivity NWS Houston (KHGX) velocity reflectivity This thing is clearly over the Galveston Bay still spinning tightly and likely a tornadic waterspout headed towards Chambers County, TX.

The Brazoria/Southeastern Harris/Galveston counties supercell has a special marine warning for tornadic waterspouts. Special Marine Warning Marine Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 157 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 GMZ335-282015- /O.CON.KHGX.MA.W.0187.000000T0000Z-241228T2015Z/ 157 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 ...A SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CST... For the following areas... Galveston Bay... At 155 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing waterspouts was located over northwestern Galveston Bay, moving northeast at 25 knots. HAZARD...Waterspouts, wind gusts to nearly 50 knots, and small hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Waterspouts can easily overturn boats and create locally hazardous seas. Small craft could be damaged in briefly higher winds and suddenly higher waves. Locations impacted include... Smith Point, Galveston Bay, Eagle Point, Trinity Bay, The Texas City Dike, and northwestern East Galveston Bay. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to safe harbor until hazardous weather passes. Thunderstorms can produce sudden waterspouts. Waterspouts can easily overturn boats and create locally hazardous seas. Seek safe harbor immediately. && LAT...LON 2977 9467 2966 9467 2955 9473 2959 9456 2929 9497 2930 9498 2933 9495 2933 9492 2943 9491 2947 9497 2949 9494 2954 9503 2962 9501 2969 9493 2968 9491 2978 9481 2980 9471 TIME...MOT...LOC 1955Z 230DEG 24KT 2952 9494 WATERSPOUT...POSSIBLE HAIL...<.75IN WIND...49KTS $$ Wood

Tornado Warning Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 149 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 TXC167-282000- /O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0059.000000T0000Z-241228T2000Z/ Galveston TX- 149 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CST FOR NORTH CENTRAL GALVESTON COUNTY... At 149 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located over Bacliff, or near Kemah, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornado will be near... San Leon around 155 PM CST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 2944 9499 2950 9504 2957 9497 2946 9487 TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 237DEG 23KT 2949 9497 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN $$ 03

Mesoscale Discussion 2302 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Areas affected...portions of eastern Texas into Louisiana...western Mississippi...and extreme southeastern Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 281934Z - 282100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...The anticipated primary round of severe storms is expected to take shape soon. A QLCS, likely preceded by supercells, with all severe hazards expected. Several EF0-EF2 tornadoes are anticipated, and a few intense (EF3+) tornadoes are likely. A particularly dangerous situation tornado watch will be issued within the next hour or so to address the increasing severe threat. DISCUSSION...A QLCS is gradually organizing across eastern TX, preceded by multiple supercells developing within confluence bands. So far, tornadoes have been the predominant observed severe hazard, with preliminary local storm reports suggesting that some of these tornadoes may have been strong. Mesoanalysis trends have shown a 70 kt mid-level jet streak pivoting the trough and approaching the open warm sector, characterized by 2000-2500 J/kg MLCAPE (given 7 C/km mid-level lapse rates atop 70F surface dewpoints). As such, the 850 mb low-level jet has already increased to 40 kts, with regional VADs beginning to show the first signs of low-level hodograph enlargement. Trends of increasing low-level shear across the warm sector should continue into the evening hours ahead of the approaching QLCS and supercells. Damaging tornado potential should not only persist, but likely increase into the evening hours, both with the QLCS and preceding supercells. The most discrete, dominant warm-sector supercells will have the best potential to produce intense, potentially long-lived/long-tracked tornadoes. In consideration of the aforementioned significant tornado potential, a particularly dangerous situation tornado watch is likely within the next hour. ..Squitieri/Hart.. 12/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX... LAT...LON 30269465 31879331 33439123 33149048 32509034 31889034 31149082 30479132 30169235 30069395 30269465

A clear center of circulation when directly over the NWS Houston NEXRAD radar site and the NWS forecasted offices. The tornado was on the ground as it crossed I-45.

This thing is rotating on top of Dickison, TX

Tornado Warning Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 132 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 TXC167-201-282000- /O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0059.000000T0000Z-241228T2000Z/ Galveston TX-Harris TX- 132 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CST FOR NORTHWESTERN GALVESTON AND SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTIES... At 131 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located over Dickinson, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornado will be near... Eastern League City, Texas City, Dickinson, La Marque, southern Seabrook, Kemah, Clear Lake Shores, Bacliff, San Leon, and Kemah Boardwalk around 135 PM CST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 2938 9510 2945 9515 2958 9499 2943 9484 TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 242DEG 26KT 2943 9509 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN $$ 03

The NWS Houston NEXRAD has reflectivity showing a debris ball headed its way. It's insane that the radar is showing a slight "donut hole" where the tornado is likely at the moment.

Extension of the Brazoria and Galveston counties tornado warning for the messaging of the radar confirmed tornado is on the ground and damaging. Tornado Warning Tornado Warning TXC039-167-201-282000- /O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0059.241228T1922Z-241228T2000Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 122 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 The National Weather Service in League City has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Galveston County in southeastern Texas... Northeastern Brazoria County in southeastern Texas... Southeastern Harris County in southeastern Texas... * Until 200 PM CST. * At 122 PM CST, a tornado producing storm was located near Santa Fe, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic storm will be near... Eastern League City, Texas City, Dickinson, La Marque, and Santa Fe around 130 PM CST. Kemah and Clear Lake Shores around 135 PM CST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 2936 9517 2942 9521 2958 9499 2942 9483 TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 241DEG 16KT 2941 9516 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN $$ 03

This is clearly a very violent tornado on the ground. This is the Houston-Hobby Airport terminal doppler radar reflectivity.

Reported damage in the Liverpool area from the supercell per the City of Liverpool, TX and Brazoria County, TX Emergency Management

The Brazoria/Galveston County embedded supercell confirmed tornado is headed towards the NWS Houston/Galveston offices and main NEXRAD radar site.

It appears the Brazoria County embedded supercell is rapidly tightened up in the past 10 minutes. It is in between Liverpool and Alvin, TX in Greater Houston. It is now confirmed on the ground. Tornado Warning Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1258 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 TXC039-167-281930- /O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0058.000000T0000Z-241228T1930Z/ Galveston TX-Brazoria TX- 1258 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM CST FOR WEST CENTRAL GALVESTON AND NORTHEASTERN BRAZORIA COUNTIES... At 1258 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Liverpool, or near Alvin, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornado will be near... Southwestern League City, southern Friendswood, Alvin, Santa Fe, and Hillcrest around 105 PM CST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 2930 9532 2934 9536 2951 9518 2940 9509 TIME...MOT...LOC 1858Z 235DEG 25KT 2935 9530 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN $$ 03

It is a now tornado-warned embedded supercell. Tornado Warning Tornado Warning TXC039-167-281930- /O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0058.241228T1853Z-241228T1930Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1253 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 The National Weather Service in League City has issued a * Tornado Warning for... West central Galveston County in southeastern Texas... Northeastern Brazoria County in southeastern Texas... * Until 130 PM CST. * At 1253 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Liverpool, or 7 miles southwest of Alvin, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Southwestern League City, Friendswood, Alvin, Santa Fe, and Hillcrest around 100 PM CST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 2929 9536 2934 9540 2955 9521 2940 9509 TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 230DEG 26KT 2934 9534 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ 03

A new area of rotation in Brazoria County southwest of Alvin, TX is to be watched via NWS Houston radar.