BullCityWx
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Everything posted by BullCityWx
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I really believe this event has every chance of being the snow equivalent to Florence. If things hold, alarms need to start being sounded tomorrow.
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Oh I’m totally concerned about that too. 6” and an inch of sleet? It’ll last forever.
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Just about everything looks great for Durham County
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It sure is. I'm also beginning to wonder if this thing arrives early like other overrunning/el nino events. Also wondering if we overperform on QPF like we have for almost every storm since Hurricane Florence.
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12z UKMET: Crushed.
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I'll take that 14.2 in durham though.
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You can keep that in banter or get your posts hid. your choice.
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FV3 does look a little warm around the US 74 corridor this time. Might be sleet in Charlotte proper over to Gastonia at hour 96.
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Like the euro PBP last night?
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ICON keeps my back yard all snow until about midnight monday morning.
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I think I'd be much more worried if it was the UKMET.
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Yes sir! Pulling for y’all back home.
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I would not assume that roads could be cleared in time for you to get back to Alabama from Banner Elk. Honestly, you’re just as good in Morganton or somewhere in the foothills that is interstate adjacent.
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Only noticeable thing this run on the NAM through 60 is the high is slightly weaker. We've done okay with 1038 many times in the past though.
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UKMET had an increase at 0z over 12z yesterday, fwiw.
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Looking at the 6z NAM, we're clouded over here before Saturday even begins. The more we can limit sunlight that day, the better. With CAD already starting from the high, that could mean temperatures are cooler on Saturday and thus you get a lower wet bulb that evening or night. and yes, this is a time where I think this could absolutely matter.
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I think maybe for the airport and south/east you're right. For me, you and sean who are on the NW fringes of the metro, I feel much better.
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1000% agree there. I dont know where the freezing rain area sets up but where it does, ouch.
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I dont think this is an awful comparison
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I could also see a january 1987 sort of situation.
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RDU looks similar but a little less. An inch less on the means.
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Checked my soundings through 6z on Monday on this GFS run. Looks like it SHOULD be all snow through then, if the model is right.
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Almost reminds me of that February 2015 storm.
