BullCityWx
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Everything posted by BullCityWx
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As long as we hang around where we're at now, I expect a quicker changeover.
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The NAM initialized dewpoints too warm in the Triangle.
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It should be duly noted that the dewpoint at RDU is 7(!!!!) degrees lower than forecast by the 6z NAM at 12z this morning.
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Also noted Franklin County airport has a dewpoint of 28.
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Dewpoint has been consistently dropping at RDU this morning.
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Good news is RDUs dewpoint has dropped 5 degrees since 3AM.
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I hope we’re starting off today right with this blanket of clouds.
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38 degrees and heavy overcast in West Durham.
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Saw it was already in the mid 30s around Timberlake
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That used to be one of @WidreMann rules
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I feel pretty good! I also feel confident that every precip event for a month has over performed.
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Same folks that have been melting down with every run.
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what exactly are we whining about again?
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It basically hasn’t changed since the storm got in range. It’s going to be an all time performance if it verifies.
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Been wondering where the hell you’ve been
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GFS has us at 100% overcast the entire night
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It looks like we at least held the line this run if not pushed it a few dozen miles south this run. Hope it continues!
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3K has basically the same map with a little less snow owing to less QPF(about .15 less). There is less snow down to Charlotte and in the foothills.
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So this run was actually slightly colder in the upper levels and had better RH numbers in the DGZ.
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I think it's gonna be like it usually is there. The minimum in Ballantyne, maximum at Davidson.
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That is the 5th run in a row of the NAM with double digits for Durham on the Kuchera maps.
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The HRRR, somehow, warms us up to near 50 degrees tomorrow despite 100% cloud cover.
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Noted the 17z HRRR is a full five(!) degrees colder at the surface than the GFS at 11z tomorrow.
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Fair enough. I like the format a lot.
