cyclone77

The robins have arrived here. Quite a few of them bouncing around out in the yard today. Apparently they weren't buying into the NAM neither lol.

First call for here/QC, nothing.

The once mighty Euro is about as worthless as any of the other models now. Feel bad for mets who have to make professional forecasts using these incompetent tools.

Finished with 3.83" of precip in Feb here. Pretty wet for Feb.

That's one of the hawtest model images I've seen in recent years. Wow.

This literally made me lol. Deep low in southern Indiana with cold rain to the north.

The shift southeast began with the 00z, and continues with the 06z. Full whiff by 00z for northern IL most likely.

Welcome to Spring! See you later you pos winter 22-23.

I have mixed emotions. Kind of ready for spring but if we can get a dog then I'd be good with it. My piggy bank doesn't have any room for more nickel and dimes lol.

Well, one thing's for certain, everyone is still in the game at this point.

All of that variability makes me think this one will have surprises right up until the final 24hrs.

1.23" rain total today.

First thunder here overnight as well. When it woke me up for a sec I thought it was a plow. How stupid of a thought eh? Up to 0.98" and climbing fast.

That's probably the one to go with.

Definitely some embedded supercell structures with that band of convection Sunday night/Monday morning from MO into IL. If we had some surface instability I'd be expecting some tor reports with that to be sure.

That brings ORD up to nearly 18" for the season, but still down over a foot FTS.

Gotta love those frontogenesis bands.

Just virga out this way. ORD down to 0.5 mile now in moderate snow.

Feb will finish with 14.5" for the seasonal snowfall total here, MLI at 14.1" which is now 15.2" below average. This time last year MLI was at 15.4", 13.9" below average.

So much for our 958mb storm eh?

Dec 87 blizzard had a 979mb low near Kankakee and up towards your area IIRC.

Yeah so often sleet co ck blocks the glazing potential. It's kind of hard to get a nearly pure freezing rain event, as it seems to be more fleeting/transitory in nature in these parts. The best ice storm I've witnessed was back in December '94 while living in the QC. We were forecast to get a warning criteria snow event, with freezing rain changing to snow. To my dismay at the time the freezing rain just kept holding and didn't change to snow until the final portion of the event. Didn't have online models to peruse in those days, so had to rely on TWC and weather radio.

Definitely an interesting pattern. Seems like it's chucking out sub 980mb systems one after the other. Hopefully something noteworthy comes of it, it'd be kind of a shame to waste it lol.

lol 958mb at hour 216. And still primarily a rainer