LVblizzard

Euro still wants to tuck it into the coast and make Monday morning very rainy and windy. Most other models give us some showers with a light breeze and that’s it.

Still a ton of disagreement on the 0z models about the timing and intensity of this storm, despite the start of it being 1-2 days away. If this was winter this place would be going insane right now.

Union won the supporters’ shield at least. I was at the game Saturday night when they clinched it and the place was electric.

There looks to be agreement among the models that 1-2” of rain will fall Saturday night into Monday, possibly more in localized areas. The details are still being ironed out as there are some differences in when the most impactful rain and wind will be. That could come anytime between Sunday afternoon and Monday afternoon.

Models starting to come into agreement, one by one, on a major coastal storm Sunday into Monday. The Canadian is the only one that doesn’t have it. Looks like a widespread 1-3” of rain with tropical storm force gusts if it indeed plays out like the models are saying.

Aurora is out tonight…too bad it’s freaking cloudy. Ugh.

These dry periods are aligning nicely with my job as a college tennis ref. It always sucks to move a match or tournament indoors since that often means much longer days. I do really hope we get some good rain in the coming weeks though. We just really need a 3-4 day period of steady light rain. Feels like we haven’t had that in forever.

The 0z Canadian gets Imelda close enough to Humberto that they end up merging and becoming one storm. If that happens, assuming the storm is still tropical, how do they decide which name the storm retains?

Line of garden variety storms passed through earlier. Some gusty winds and a few lightning bolts. Might be the last widespread storms of the year?

Hmmm, a bit of sunshine starting to break out here with the line of storms still west of Harrisburg. Hopefully this can destabilize the atmosphere enough for something good.

Not feeling too optimistic about the severe threat today. There are hardly any breaks in the clouds on visible satellite. Some storms still seem likely but I’d be surprised if we saw a lot of wind/tornado reports.

Take a look at what happens on the 0z models in the western Atlantic. Two hurricanes form simultaneously and get very close to each other. It looks like high pressure will prevent the western one from moving up the coast but still, this could be a very rare situation to observe starting this weekend.

Drove to and from Scranton today. Fall colors are really starting to appear in the Poconos. Just a week or two till that trickles down to the Lehigh Valley and Philly area.

Models are hinting at a possible inverted trough around Sun-Mon. Would be nice to get a little bit of rain in the midst of this dry period.

Makes sense. I just thought it was weird that the sky looked smoky but the air quality was good.