LVblizzard

That cell over Allentown tried to go into tornado making mode. I was getting gas at Costco and I noticed some pretty intense rotation, despite radar not really showing it. Didn’t see any funnels but the motion in the clouds was pretty crazy.

There’s been near constant thunder here for over 3 hours. Our only break was an hour ago when the first storm left and the second one hadn’t formed yet.

Yeah this is a tough area to chase in. Might not matter though…that little supercell is making a beeline directly towards me. Hearing lots of distant thunder. If it does try to tornado it’ll happen very close to my house, likely just south.

Figures…the one day my car is in the shop is the one that has tornadic supercells everywhere. Would have loved to chase today.

Some clearing is showing up in southern PA and expanding ENE. Today is still game on from the Lehigh Valley southward.

The HRRR has been adamant about this early activity and it still has severe storms around later. I don’t think it fully kills the severe threat…it does make it a little tougher though.

The NAM and HRRR look drastically different for Tuesday. The NAM has widely scattered storms in eastern PA while the main line stays in western PA and dissipates as it reaches this area. The HRRR plows a strong line of storms through the region on Tuesday evening. It’s a decent setup without as many fail modes as Saturday…but we still need things to come together the right way. It’s not easy to get a severe outbreak around here.

That cold front feels nice. Windows are open to let in the less humid and non smoky air. Tuesday’s threat looks interesting…would be nice to make up for yesterday’s whiff around here.

I have my eye on the stuff north of State College. If the Lehigh Valley is going to see any severe weather, it’ll be from that. If it can latch onto the warm front it might get pretty gnarly.

Sun is starting to peek out in Lehigh County. A little quicker than I expected. Hopefully that little blob of rain out near Harrisburg either fizzles or passes to the south so the atmosphere can continue to destabilize.

I’m liking Harrisburg to Lancaster to Philly for the best tornado potential today just based on where the warm front appears to be setting up.

A lot less smoky out there today. I can even see some blue in the sky. Looking forward to this crap being gone by tomorrow afternoon.

Storms juuuuust missed my place in the western suburbs of Allentown. The cool outflow feels nice at least.

Some storms forming north of I-80 and moving southeast. One of them is severe warned. Let’s see how long they can hold together.

Radar says this will happen today too. The cell over Schuylkill County looks to miss to the west.