LVblizzard

EPAWA is usually spot on but when they put out this map I was like WTF are they thinking. I suppose round 2 could still beef up totals for their D and E zones but they severely underestimated the western extent of plowable snow.

Just shy of 2” here as light snow continues. Watching the radar today will be very interesting to see how far west that second wave gets.

Snow starting in central PA, a bit ahead of schedule. Expecting around 2” from this in Allentown…hopefully the evening stuff comes west for a little more.

About 5.5” in Allentown. Tomorrow keeps trending better and better on the mesos. We could even get plowable snow here which was unthinkable at this time yesterday.

Can anyone remember a storm performing quite like this with a low in southern Ontario? Usually these give us 1-3” max. This one gave Allentown nearly 6” of snow.

Coming up on 4” in Allentown. Should hit at least 5” looking at radar.

The NAM is either very right or very wrong when it does stuff like that. We like to laugh at it but sometimes it ends up winning in the end. Dumping in Allentown…about 2” on the ground.

That Sunday coastal storm keeps disappearing and then coming back. Almost as if it’s teasing all us weenies.

The RGEM also nailed that snow/sleet fiasco 3 weeks ago. It’s the best of the short range models IMO.

Mesos seem to agree on a stripe of 2-4” somewhere between Philly and the Poconos tomorrow. The question is where exactly does it set up? I’m feeling pretty good in Allentown but the Poconos could do particularly well because of their elevation.

12z HRRR has a solid advisory level event north of the immediate Philly metro tomorrow. Even pushes warning criteria in parts of northern NJ.

Sunday threat isn’t dead yet. GEFS keeps this subforum in the game. RGEM and RRFS bring the precip shield way west too.

GFS remains very interesting for Sunday. RGEM has jumped NW as well.

NAM and RGEM have a 1-3” event NW of 202 as well. Would really like to at least see something, it’s been weeks since we’ve had anything wintry aside from Sunday’s graupel squalls.

Don’t sleep on Saturday either. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a stripe of 1-3” somewhere in the region.