nwohweather

Wow at those pics out of Iowa. Insane how rainy and miserable we’ve been here at the end of the month

This is why I still have a scraper in my truck

Having a snowstorm in late April at this latitude isn't normal, whether you like snow or not. Having a strong, bowling ball system traversing the mid latitudes this time of the year is NOT normal. I'm just very concerned about the future of our climate, that's all. Something is messing up the weather patterns across the globe, and I have an idea on what it might be. I believe it to be man-made, however, which is very disconcerting.

I believe that was around Sunday, April 8 2016

It happened a few years ago here in Toledo. Small band of snow rolled through Masters weekend, dropped 6-10”

Interesting enough that the HRRR has shifted the low track further west in Indiana now, is a bit more intense, and shows a line of supercells forming in Indiana and moving into a more unstable Ohio during peak heating.  Will be interested to see if this is a trend.

Really interested to see how this goes today. That amount of SRH should allow for some serious spinners today, especially with such good dews and a low LCL

Just now, geddyweather said:

IWX just ninja'd you on that one. Warning up now. Clicking NE at 55mph.

That's the one to watch. Per mesoanalysis it seems as all the CIN is gone with SBCAPE around 1000 and decent lapse rates as well. Honestly just a waiting game at this point but I'm shocked to not see a ton springing up

Not sure how there is no SVR warning for Angola, IN as that looks like a mean hailer 

Cell definitely has the look to it. Environment has cleared up really well also

Helicity is absolutely off the charts here currently. If we can really get some instability to build it's going to be showtime

49 minutes ago, geddyweather said:

Kind of a Hail Mary pitch imo but still not unreasonable. Round one, however, is DOA. We were close time and time again to getting some atmospheric recovery but wave after wave of strat rain has hampered that prospect

Yeah I'm not sure why people were already mailing it in. 5-730 looked like the prime window anyways

11 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said:

Definitely weakening trend in cells as they push east, less TOR and SVR overall.

It's still early. We have to see if any instability can build after this rain to the east before the front comes through. Models showing a decent amount building with pretty good shear and helicity readings so maybe something can come of it. Regardless I'm just excited for some warmth, any serve would be a welcome bonus

Will be interesting to see if we can get some activity in Northern IN with this sun coming out. Could be an interesting situation this evening

This almost brings back memories of the Van Wert tornado of 2002, which tracked 52.8 miles in my direction. Even so, most models show less than 500 J/kg of CAPE in Ohio.

So much of tomorrow will depend on just how much instability can develop. If there is a large amount of clearing though could absolutely see some low topped strong tornadoes flying through the region tomorrow

Jesus it’s March and I’m still looking at below freezing temps until at least Friday.

On a side note what a tornado outbreak they got down south today. Holy cow everything was spinning violently this afternoon on the southern side of this system

Is this going to be the main thread for today? That warm sector looks absolutely vicious for this afternoon

I really love how only the city of Toledo is under an ice storm warning. Haha can be sure more than one county will get similar conditions

Just pouring freezing rain here in Toledo. My god

 Hmmm...maybe because it’s winter?? Do people root for freezing temps in early August?? :arrowhead:
It’s not very complicated...same ******* with the warministas every year. Please just let seasons be seasons. 3 months of winter, 3 months of summer.
Enjoy the weekend and the super bowl...at least it’s something to take our mind off this garbage. 

I don’t know how you guys are so against this thaw. Lol after hitting -15° I’ll gladly take some 55 and sunshine

The dustbowl was crazy. But I disagree....unless you put asterisks in todays numbers due to UHI. I cant count the time DTW missed a record low by a few degrees due to their UHI that was not there when they were a radiating magnet in the 1960s and 1970s.

I think any records from the 30s need asterisked honestly lol. The Dust Bowl created some conditions that may never be seen again on this continent