CoraopolisWx

4 hours ago, Rd9108 said:

Well WTAE is the first to post their winter forecast. They went with above average Temps every month, 30-38 inches of snowfall with it being possible to see more depending on lake effect and if we get colder Temps. So basically the usual mix line is through the county. 

Maybe this year we get some NS love, with a few high end advisory clippers.

On 9/14/2020 at 8:08 AM, ChalkHillSnowNut said:

Well looking at extended this week and especially after Thursday look to be some true fall weather around here..... 

Some of the nicest September weather we’ve had in awhile. 

9 hours ago, TeaysValleyWV said:

Only got 0.17" yesterday...better rain so far today, slow soaker but light so far.  My immediate area seemed to be constantly missing the heavier downpours.  I've never seen cool season grass look so  dead brown in my lifetime.

There were some odd dead spots even here south of Downtown.

 In real time yesterday the radar didn't really show it, but there were some noticeable differences in amounts within a relatively small area.

Nice little breeze out tonight.

Relatively comfortable watching fireworks in the neighborhood.

1 hour ago, jwilson said:

Another "slight" risk of severe today and it looks like, once again, Pittsburgh metro and points north will miss out.

Depends on your perspective, of course, but it seems like the metro area has been having some bad luck lately on the stormy weather.  Everything seems to be missing south or farther north.

I feel what you're saying. It's more about the missing out part, that seems to be the theme around here for the last few years.

During better climo, this system could’ve been a solid 3-5”, especially after the wind shift earlier today. 

7 hours ago, MikeB_01 said:

From November through April. A perpetual state of 40°


.

Yeah, this winter was similar to what Vancouver B.C. would be.

13 hours ago, north pgh said:

Be optimistic. 6 months from now we will be getting ready to track winter storms again. haha. Maybe 2020-2021 will be our year of the big snowstorm or 2 . We are due! 

I try to hope for the best. It’s been tough the last ten years though. 

The pocket of dry air we've been under is very impressive.

Had his been a legit snowstorm threat, the meltdowns would be understandable. Lol

3 hours ago, Ericjcrash said:

To be fair its mid-late April lol.

Yeah, time to move on.

Maybe next year. SMH

Shouldn’t be surprised that guidance is keeping the snow north of I-80. It’s been the usual track for a few years now. 

4 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

Looks like the city avoided the brunt of this first wave. That's fine with me I'm at work and would rather not have to chase wires down and sit there waiting for Duquesne Light. 

Normally I'm all about the severe weather, usually being disappointed with the weak sauce we tend to get.

But considering everything going on,  I agree with not having to deal with any extra problems.

1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

 

No tears shed for them at all. 
Lol

Right now ~1200ft seems to be where the snow is falling.  
I’m sure with the heavier precip later levels will drop. 

Another Superstorm anniversary.

What a glorious time to be alive:

12/10/1992, 3/13/1993, 1/4/1994

Maybe we’ll get enough sun to destabilize, and get some heavy snow/pellets with thunder. 

Looks like another band is about to effect the north hills.

Might get clipped with the western edge here, just south of Downtown.

Low development just isn’t fast enough to get any snow with these higher precip rates. Starting to run out of time for anything decent. 

2 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Keep an eye on tomorrow night into Thursday morning. Maybe a chance at some short lived but decent snow rates. Sort of similar situation to the last event but we need a shift SE. 

Any untreated surfaces could be icy Thursday morning.

Interested how quickly this wave develops. The best rates seem like they're going to be wrapped close to the low.

8 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

Yeah, I remember that coming through early afternoon on a Saturday.

Missed driving in the worst of it, but the roads were tricky for awhile.

I think we had a few decent LES squalls later in the evening also. 

nice squall

14 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

That Thursday morning thing is close enough to keep an eye on, but right now GFS is really the only thing giving us mainly snow. 

Unfortunately, the Euro and everyone else have been north from the start. 

I expect the GFS to cave soon. 

Everytime we actually need the NS to  suppress a bit, it tends to fail us.  

I think we did about as good as we could with this trailing vort. 3-5” with limited qpf is pretty good. 
The pattern is so brutal, it took the perfect setup just to get advisory level snows. 
Maybe we can try to duplicate a 92-93 finish. 

12 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

CNY looks to get pummeled, the storm is deepening pretty rapidly now. I don’t know your climo well but when it comes to synoptic storms riding up inland, those rare inland tracks that get us are also good up that way. 
 

This winter you can’t complain about getting any snow, but if this thing could have started deepening a little further south given the track we could have easily doubled totals. There’s definitely going to be a stripe of snow that over performs with this one!

Yeah, latitude was definitely your friend with this storm. Another 10 degrees south and we would be getting warning level amounts.

 Euro showed decent moisture through this evening, maybe we get some LES enhanced this afternoon.

Not familiar with the HRDPS accuracy, but it shows rates in spots as hi as 3"/hr early tomorrow morning.

Could be some brief 0.1-0.2 mile visibility on the roads.