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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. Don’t worry man. It’s probably far less stressful knowing you’ll rarely see snow than to be teased into believing you’ll get a foot every week, just to have it taken away within 48 hours LOL
  2. I do. Check out the radar, not the model. Feasible for sure that we get coastal snow in here by noon. Perhaps 10 am
  3. Beginning to see some building of the radar to our SW and connection of the two areas of precip. Check out a more zoomed out radar. Hi-Def radar app is legit on iOS
  4. Initial precip movement of the banding and convection off the Carolina coast is NNE, riding along the coastal plain.
  5. 6-8mb pressure drop at the NC/VA border in the past 6 hours. Come on baby, keep going.
  6. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/exper/change/change.html Check it out. Rapid pressure falls off the Carolina coast.
  7. Yup. Lots of thunderstorms off the coastline. Last frame of the radar loop you can begin to see a little filling in NoVa and bridging of the two main areas of low pressure. It’s going to be wicked close.
  8. https://ibb.co/R4hVNY5 Ton of convection popping up off the Carolinas. Coastal’s getting its act together
  9. I grew up right over the border in Rockland county NY. 10 mins north of Bergen County NJ. NNJ into the lower Hudson valley into SW CT and coastal RI / MA always jack on these storms. Always. Someone in the higher elevations of NWNJ will see 30” I bet
  10. Seeing a few mets saying NWS and others are getting too jumpy with their changes in forecasts. Miller b’s do come with one thing - the element of surprise. There’s 0 way to know or model where this CCB sets up or how quickly the coastal gets going. We’re going to have to be patient. Still Have a good feeling about the area from I-70 north and north east come tomorrow.
  11. Developing off NC as we speak. Solid start. The key is what does it do from there and how quickly does it get its act together.
  12. Icon can eat my shorts. It’s prob right though.
  13. Told my parents that they should be on the lookout Monday night into Tuesday. I suspect someone between Nyack NY and Ashbury Park NJ will get a foot in 3-4 hours.
  14. Secondary forming off the NC Coastline. I mean... it’s so damn close. So close to being what we need.
  15. You’re over in the Columbia area right? My brother said he’s got 2.75” in ellicott city, so that lines up well.
  16. My folks were just upgraded to 18-24 in their Wsw. Never a good sign for us down here.
  17. Was gonna say..... the evolution is nowhere near the same as 2016. That thing was a monster that tracked out of the south East and up the coastline.
  18. Also... pressures dropping the fastest off NC. Could be signs of a further south transfer. Been refreshing the 3 hour pressure change map all day
  19. Check out the last frame of the radar. Precip beginning to fill in between the two main batches of precipitation. Exactly what we need to see. Let’s get those easterlies rocking off VA
  20. Yep. And the forecasted placement of this coastal low is REAL close to where we need it to be for this CCB to become a reality. I understand people’s pessimism, but we are 90% of the way there to having this verify. We just need a few things to happen. Keep positive all!
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