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PrinceFrederickWx

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Everything posted by PrinceFrederickWx

  1. I wonder if there’s any chance of significant ice late Sunday evening? I see LWX called for 0.1” ice in the WSW for Calvert and St Mary’s. We don’t seem to do ice much here though.
  2. NOTE: if the latest RGEM verifies, I am willing to reinstate @WxWatcher007 into the contest, if he so chooses.
  3. I can confirm that the California Walmart is a madhouse this morning
  4. Agreed- all I care about is that front end / WAA first half. Let the northern crew obsess over the coastal deathbands in the main thread. Are you still thinking late morning Sunday is when the good stuff arrives?
  5. Sounds like my boys! They love the snow too. This will be my youngest son’s first snowstorm- I wonder what he’s going to think of it. Sadly, baby’s first winter last year was a dud. His baby book actually has a section to fill in for “my first snowstorm” - hopefully that gets filled soon
  6. Funny- I may possibly be moving away in a few years too, and southern PA was an area we’ve considered. How far I can move depends on what my permanent percentage of telework is though, which I’m not gonna fully know until next year. Proximity to relatives is also a factor.
  7. Welcome back! I’m feeling more confident today that we’re gonna reel this one in- this thread is the Wallstreetbets of AmWx
  8. This thread’s kinda languished over the years, sending out signals to some of the old crew:@SOMDweather @Wxdavis5784 @snowdude
  9. It's actually just a tad too south for me too, but I was being generous to our southern tier folk.
  10. I hope the 12z Euro suppresses the sh*t out of this storm - SBY and NHK jackpot
  11. The 0z Euro run is actually starting to get me interested. Welcome back @csnavywx! Should probably invite @IronTy in here since he's from the area.
  12. Yeah, everyone bashes the NAM at range but in many cases it leads the way in sniffing out problems (the most infamous example being Boxing Day).
  13. I don't have time to run it, but if anyone's interested in doing a snowfall contest for this storm, go for it! Paging @Roger Smith maybe?
  14. IMHO if we're going to do this IMBY, it's gonna have to be the front end thump- that was really the difference between a 2016 HECS and a 2014 fail. I don't put much faith in the backside or the coastal part- 2019 was really the only one I can remember that overperformed on the back end, but that system was further south anyway I believe.
  15. That's kind of my benchmark for success as well. I'm definitely not buying into the CMC solution. It's just going to be frustrating watching the northern tier with well over a foot while we measure pity inches (I'm thinking of Feb. 2014 for example).
  16. This just has fail written all over it for Southern MD and lower shore.
  17. He asked to be removed since his forecast was a troll that he forgot to update in time.
  18. I often wonder if these indices are actually correlated in the way we think- seems like most of the research on this is derived from comparing prior years’ data with outcomes, which is a relatively small sample size.
  19. Snowing here- my LWX forecast still says sunny though
  20. This is what I keep saying- I haven't been below the 20's in two years. It's the above normal lows that kill us, not the highs. I feel like the 28th one has a slight chance for us- I'm out on the 25th system.
  21. The one that crushes Norfolk and leaves me with pity flakes?
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