PrinceFrederickWx

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LittleVillageWx finished 2nd place last year… we might have another Olaf or StormPC on our hands. Gotta watch what he/she does every year now before making a forecast. 

On 1/15/2023 at 12:26 PM, PrinceFrederickWx said:

We’ll get our first (and only) event this year in the second half of March, amidst all the hand-wringing over sun angle and slop accumulation. Remember this post- I make forecasts YOU can trust. 

I’m calling early thread rights for any snowstorm here from March 16-31. Now’s the time to get in early, during the capitulation phase. 

This is interesting!

I’d give 1899 an A+ and I wouldn’t rank 2011-12 dead last, just because I did see snow accumulate in October (which I’ll probably never see again).

I don’t know much about 1904-05, I’ll have to research it given you ranked it so highly.

2 hours ago, osfan24 said:

 Curious what some parts of Southern MD received.

Zero. I've now been completely shutout from accumulation since 1/29/22.

The accumulation shutout continues IMBY

1 hour ago, RodneyS said:

Okay.  FYI, an astonishing historical DC snow fact is this:

In the winter of 1913-14, no measurable snow fell until February 13, 1914.  Then a Valentine's Eve/Valentine's Day storm dropped 4.5 inches.  That seemed to open the snow gates, as after that snow fell on an additional nine days through March 22, 1914, resulting in 28.6 inches for the season, of which a record 19.3 inches fell in March. 

Now fast forward to the winter of 1959-60.  Believe it or not, once again no measurable snow fell in DC until February 13th, and once again a Valentine's Eve/Valentine's Day storm dropped significant snow -- this time, 6.2 inches.  And once again, that seemed to open the snow gates, as after that snow fell on an additional seven days through March 16, 1960, resulting in 24.3 inches for the season, of which 17.1 inches fell in March -- the second most ever -- second only to March 1914.  

I had mentioned both those winters in the snow futility thread when researching DCA shutouts. Those were both interesting years. Thanks for the info!

On 1/12/2023 at 11:57 AM, RodneyS said:

At this point, both you and I are wishing that we had low-balled @Little Village Wx. 

I'm still liking where I sit, my proprietary PFWx model says we get our one and only WSW event in the 2nd half of March. I'll see you then. 

1913-14 and 1959-60 were Nov/Dec/Jan shutouts at DCA that still ended up above average for the winter. I don’t know the story behind either of those though.

We’ll get our first (and only) event this year in the second half of March, amidst all the hand-wringing over sun angle and slop accumulation. Remember this post- I make forecasts YOU can trust. 

Light snow here.

Well this has been an easy contest for Rodney to run so far  

If I may make a suggestion, there should be two tiers of reaping:

1) It’s never going to snow here this year, and

2) It’s never going to snow here ever again (this is a popular new take I’m seeing more often now)

Cue @WxWatcher007entrance music as he returns from retirement to take all our souls once again.  

It's only a year ago but 1/3/22 is already one of my fondest weather memories ever. I measured 9.3" (the 2nd biggest event IMBY since I moved to Prince Frederick) and some of best rates I've seen. It was also my youngest son's first snowstorm (he was only 3 months). We all built a huge snowman together. We also have a very steep hill on our property and half the neighborhood kids came over to sled with our kids. Sadly, many of their friends have moved away just a year later- half this neighborhood cashed out during the bubble and left. It'll never happen again...

14 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Geez, get better all of you. Kids can pickup germs everywhere, they are germ magnets. Just a hunch....mine gave it to my family. Get well!

We’ve mostly figured it out now, but it means the incubation period would’ve been about 7 days for my wife (who caught it first). Long story short, it was literally impossible for any of us to have picked it up in the 3-4 day incubation period that’s claimed as the average now. None of us had left the house or interacted with anyone lol

I don’t know what the research shows on incubation periods now, or how long it can theoretically take. I know the original strain had a longer incubation period like that. 

My wife and I and two of our children have Covid for the first time ever, and we literally have no idea how we got it. We weren’t even out anywhere! We’re all pretty sick too despite being vaccinated and boosted. 

39F and light snow

What I’m most excited to see is if IMBY will actually get to the low of 7 currently forecast here tonight. I haven’t been below the 20’s in almost five years.

3 hours ago, leesburg 04 said:

Color me stupid but i have a feeling there are some changes to this thing still happening. Not necessarily saying anything positive for us but this mornings models seem to be a little different. Looks like Chicago is the new Mid Atlantic

Widespread model fraud on this one- might be a lot of bagholders in Chicago as well now.

Another pump-and-dump scam 

The best part was at the beginning of the month, when weenies (for some reason) got hyped up for a Dec. 2010 redux... as if somehow this time we weren't going to get screwed during Christmas week again. 

Here comes the usual Pacific dump. Glad I cashed out early- gonna be a lot of bagholders in the LR thread. 

I’ll re-enter my position again in March, when we finally cash in amidst all the hand-wringing over sun angle. 

50’s and rain seems to be a common theme in Decembers here now. Such a miserable month for weather. 

If that storm verifies then Dec. 9 is the new Dec. 5 IMBY. It would be the third time in five years that I’ve had accumulating snow on that date.

I’ve been looking for a sell signal in the main thread, someone just called the 18z GFS a “dumpster fire”… might be time to exit my position already.