Allsnow

Euro keeps the weekend rain event north and west. Always a fear for those wishing for rain near the metro in that type of set up 

Latest HRRR has everything missing north until midnight 

23 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said:

Perhaps the most clustered action will be N of here as the storms fire along the front and primarily look to march E driven by weak/moderate steering.

 

However...I'd be careful to totally dismiss the action further S where we should see some  individual cells and less overall/but perhaps stronger storms where you have more favorable lift and steeper mid level lapse rates. The only drawback is there's just not much of a trigger with the light shear.

Of course timing will play a role in strength of any storms here as well....and that unfortunately isn't on our side if the lapse rates/Cape etc. begin to diminish later on.

Thanks. Yeah, if we miss out on the early nighttime convection I think it’s probably over for the metro outside of some rain early tomorrow morning 

6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yep. 

If we need to wait until early morning it won’t be much more then some moderate rain 

Best action might be north of us tonight? SPC has the watch north of the area 

91. Waiting for the storms 

3 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

are you talking about crime or the weather

Weather. Looks nasty tonight 

Overnight violence? 

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

The 12z run is much sunnier with highs pushing 100° in NJ before a MCS rolls through later in the day.

 

 

 

Nice. This weekend looking wetter now as well 

7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Of course. Except for south jersey and CT

3 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

the latest run is warmer but the storms fall apart anyway

Figures…nothing can come together for us this season 

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the clouds moving tomorrow ahead of the late day and evening convection will hold the temps in the mid 90s with 100s to our south where they get full sun.

Will the clouds hurt storm chances tomorrow? 

5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

 

 

Crazy 

1 minute ago, weatherpruf said:

Yeah, a lot of damage to my garden. These are the kinds of winds I only see after a tropical storm has passed through. It has that kind of feel. Was not expecting this and it's early in the season so a number of plants weren't strong enough to tolerate it.

Agreed. Definitely not forecasted well 

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

a tree in my neighborhood with rot in the middle split in half. lots of gusts over 40

Legit tree damage around town this afternoon. Didn’t think it would get this windy. 

Gorgeous morning 

South Jersey getting crushed tonight 

53 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Well at least we got the heavy rain yesterday 

Huge fail today 

7 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

EWR: 98 (so far)

Late rally today once the clouds cleared out 

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Mid 90s already with full sun in south jersey. Ewr 91. 7 day heatwave 

Fighting clouds down here 

17 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Sorry about that. I'm getting another downpour here. 1.28" so far. 

Actually turning into a nice soaking rain. Lots of back building by your area, so this should continue for a while. 
 

did any model have the storms this far south today? 

Storm fizzing out…very meh here 

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

Already 0.90" here. Much-needed rain. 

Congrats. Hopefully I get half of that from this storm. Taking its time moving in 

17 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

We do and will continue to have, Sheri signs of drought 

Need more rain here to say that….

the brief storm we did have definitely took temps down 

3 minutes ago, doncat said:

Thunder with heavy rain on si.

3 minutes ago, doncat said:

Thunder with heavy rain on si.

Lots of lighting on radar in that storm 

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Rain and thunder here currently. Enough for me not to water tonight 

Nice crack of thunder and lightning as the storm blew up to my east