bluewave

The marine layer lifted a bit for some filtered sunshine at times here on the GSB. Now the treetops are covered again in fog.

Fog rolling back in along the South Shore.

JFK close to adding a 2nd 75 degree dew point day for the year so far. Could put them on track for 5 consecutive years with double digit annual numbers. Record number of days since the super El Niño in 2016. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=161&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=JFK&var=max_dwpf&dir=aoa&thres=75&month=all&year=2020&dpi=100&_fmt=js

Updated for the 3.17 in Montclair, NJ with Tropical Storm Fay. 7/11/2020 8:00 AM NJ-ES-31 Montclair 0.7 N 3.17 NA | NA NA | NA NJ Essex

Following Fay moving through the area, the models backed off the heat they had forecast day 6-10. The ridge amplification looks less impressive now. Just enough high pressure holds on east of New England for more S to SSE onshore flow. But the dew points could turn out to be a bigger story with numerous days in the 70s coming up. So clouds and convection may be a player with such high dew points and weak front or low pressure nearby. New run Old run

Another case of record heat missing to our north this year.

First 75 degree dew point day from JFK to ISP and you could really feel it. Kennedy Intl CLOUDY 78 75 Wantagh N/A 79 75 MacArthur/ISP CLOUDY 78 75

Updated for June 2020 6....2020...EWR..10..LGA...3...BDR...5.....ISP....5

Updated for the 3.99 at Bridgeport on July 3rd.

It figures that we would start getting storm tracks like this once July came around.

Plenty of high octane fuel in the source region.

High pressure keeps finding a way to build east of New England.

Meanwhile, the marine layer is working west near the Hamptons.

Figures that ISP would get its first 90 this year on a NE wind.

This could be a new record for backdoor cold fronts from late May into early July.

Pretty big dew point spread between the North Shore and South Shore. LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY 94 46 Wantagh N/A 82 72

The active East Coast summer and fall tropical cyclone tracks weren’t that far off from all the cold season snowstorm tracks.

1996 was probably the most unique and interesting weather year of the 1990s. Seems like the 11/11/95 hurricane force gust cutter kicked off the unusual run of weather. Figures that I didn’t get online until January 1997 when the boring stretch of weather was just beginning.

It will be a confirmation of whether the recent shift to wetter has staying power. The other guidance hugs the coast and is further west than the Euro. Any low tracking north from Hatteras in July has the potential to pick up plenty of tropical moisture.

It will be interesting to see if that cutoff low later next week can take on some tropical characteristics. We haven’t missed an opportunity for onshore flow since May.

Yeah, warmth is our new default pattern especially for months like July. Hard to believe our last widespread coolJuly was way back in 2009. The main question since then has been how much warmer than average will July turn out. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/divisional/time-series/3004/tavg/1/7/2009-2020?base_prd=true&begbaseyear=1981&endbaseyear=2010 New York Climate Division 4 Average Temperature July Units: Degrees Fahrenheit Base Period: 1981-2010 Missing: -99 Date Value Anomaly 200907 71.4 -2.5 201007 78.5 4.6 201107 77.4 3.5 201207 76.7 2.8 201307 77.7 3.8 201407 74.0 0.1 201507 75.6 1.7 201607 76.5 2.6 201707 74.4 0.5 201807 75.4 1.5 201907 77.4 3.5 New Jersey Climate Division 1 Average Temperature July Units: Degrees Fahrenheit Base Period: 1981-2010 Missing: -99 Date Value Anomaly 200907 69.8 -3.0 201007 76.5 3.7 201107 76.1 3.3 201207 76.0 3.2 201307 76.4 3.6 201407 72.9 0.1 201507 73.6 0.8 201607 75.4 2.6 201707 73.5 0.7 201807 74.9 2.1 201907 76.3 3.5

It will be a nice improvement for your area. What is that narrow band that doesn’t show any snow? It pops up a lot, and since my home is in the gap (westport CT), I get innacurate forecasts. Just curious what is happening. Thanks! 1 NWS New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY · Dec 9, 2017 It's beam blockage. There's a building or structure close enough to the radar, that a portion of the radar beam is blocked, leading to what seems like light or no precipitation near the surface. If you look at higher tilts (higher elevation angles) however, the blockage goes away

Big story going forward will be the back and forth between the stronger heat and onshore flow. Days like Sunday will feature more SW flow and 90s moving further east. Monday and Tuesday has the onshore flow pushing the best heat just to our south and west. The EPS indicates a continuation of this pattern through early July.

That stack is just to the NW of the radome. I can remember noticing it when I did the NWS office tour a while back. Be interesting to see if the removal is still on track for this summer.

Heavy thunderstorm here in SW Suffolk with the sun out.