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SchaumburgStormer

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Everything posted by SchaumburgStormer

  1. SchaumburgStormer
    It is absurd how each and every storm this season has trended to complete southern garbage within 24 hours all season. You would think the models would handle at least one correctly. Oh well, on to the next.
  2. SchaumburgStormer
    What a dumpster fire
  3. SchaumburgStormer
    Remember when having the euro in your camp within 30hrs wasn’t a “will we get snow at all?” but a “are ratios going to hold up? Should I plan on 12:1 or 16:1? Will I verify on the low or high end of my 8-12” forecast?”...
  4. SchaumburgStormer
    SREF plume mean of 6.2” with a good cluster between 8-12” edit: for DKB
  5. SchaumburgStormer
    Yep, still a significant and #1 hit on the season
  6. SchaumburgStormer
    I like our general location. North of the south outlier, south of the north outlier.
  7. SchaumburgStormer
    Fully sampled at 00z tonight?
  8. SchaumburgStormer
    With the standard many ways to underperform and disappoint, I like the potential for an over performer. Long duration, with ratios being notoriously difficult to get accurately. With this much qpf, a 10:1 will be a substantial ground level difference over 6-7:1
  9. SchaumburgStormer
    Lakefront/Geos with a 16” loli. It’s time for the “event continues getting better until onset” storm, but given seasonal trends remain cautiously optimistic
  10. SchaumburgStormer
    Hours and hours of pound town. Going to have widespread 10-12+
  11. SchaumburgStormer
    NAM is going to be hawt for N IL
  12. SchaumburgStormer
    This is our moment
  13. SchaumburgStormer
    6z GFS must have come down from its high.
  14. SchaumburgStormer
    I won't get sucked into watching another storm shit the bed... I won't get sucked into watching another storm shit the bed...
  15. SchaumburgStormer
    And a beach too if I recall correctly.
  16. SchaumburgStormer
    Given overall model performance this winter, I feel you have to at least give them some consideration. Not like the GFS or Euro has been knocking it out of the park.
  17. SchaumburgStormer
    Ended with 4.6" here with mood flakes still flying. Top 2 event on the year.
  18. SchaumburgStormer
    Another “meh” storm in a season of “meh”.
  19. SchaumburgStormer
    Like 30 hours of snow with little to show for it on the NAM
  20. SchaumburgStormer
    NAM appears to look marginally better through 18 for N IL. Will see how it continues out
  21. SchaumburgStormer
    Euro shitting the bed as well. S and drier. Seasonal trends WILL NOT BE DENIED
  22. SchaumburgStormer
    Yep, still plenty of time for this to continue to trend unfavorably...
  23. SchaumburgStormer
    GFS is trying though.
  24. SchaumburgStormer
    Not a whole lot of room to work this thing NW to jackpot us with that high chilling over the dakotas
  25. SchaumburgStormer
    Usual "it's the GFS" caveats apply.
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