Stebo
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Everything posted by Stebo
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The big takeaway from that post to me is the MJO, at the very least with a high amplitude wave, we are going to flush out the current pattern at the very least.
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Rain for Ohio. Book it.
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He may have and I missed it, idk I just find it a tough subject to joke on.
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This isn't really necessary man.
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Interestingly enough a large number of GEFS members have latched onto the Saturday thing over the last couple of runs
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1421 4/3/20 -
If it does it won't be much per every model at this point.
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Both storms, this weekend and the 7th storm.
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Northern stream sped up, putting everything out of phase for both storms. I don't expect that to go back.
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Warm to misses to the south. it can't get to spring fast enough.
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Yeah I am watching the day 7 system more than this appetizer.
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I wouldn't call that Euro run a cutter. That hits most of the subforum
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Yes to both posts
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Week 1 Blowtorch Week 2 near to slightly above normal. Week 3 same only cooler than normal to the north and west Week 4 same Week 5 and beyond dartboard. One thing that is consistent, it gets cold out west and stays that way through the duration.
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I'll take Unrealistic Phenomena for $2000 Alex.
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What he is saying is right, at the very least it isn't wall to wall blowtorch look starting around the first.
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Yep, lets just fast forward to mid March
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Long range storms at least signify potential. When you are consistently showing nothing, the signal is for a pattern to produce nothing. It isn't just the GFS either, but the GEFS/EPS also are coming up with nothing through their runs.
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Gotta be one garbage model in the bunch.
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You aren't kidding, hell some of the soundings for here have PWATs near .70 with an all snow profile.
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More low centers north of the river/not in TN/MS/AL. Something to monitor for sure for a trend or just a blip.
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What is your take on the Euro and its ensembles being notoriously dry with cold season precip in the cold sector of systems. Been noticing that since the upgrade before last winter.
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Euro has had moisture issues since the last update before last winter, so this isn't surprising to see the differences.
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Above normal for all the major cities in the east, color me shocked. He should just issue this forecast every year September 1st.
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It has been wet and seasonably mild that's about it. Though that is down here, up north it has been the opposite.
