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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. rochesterdave
    NAM comes in hot and RGEM backs off. LOL
  2. rochesterdave
    I jumped the gun. NAM is just a bit slower getting precip N. Actually looks great. Lol
  3. rochesterdave
    NAM is coming in east and a bit suppressed. Not huge difference
  4. rochesterdave
    This isn’t a true Miller type storm. It’s more a baroclinic zone with a wave and over riding. I wouldn’t expect a big NW deformation zone. I don’t see any big sign of any enhancement off a NE wind. But time will tell, I’d love to see the Canadian models come to fruition.
  5. rochesterdave
    BUF 5” ROC 6” SYR 7” Ithaca 8” Scranton 2” Fulton 8” Penn Yan 10” the zone of heaviest snow can still move NW affecting the thruway corridor? Or sleet could kill us all
  6. rochesterdave
    GTA is in a tough spot for big accumulations. Very little lake effect and for whatever reason, the synoptic storms hit Ontario and shunt east. It would drive me absolutely nutz. But you guys have an economy we are all jealous of. My house, in Rochester, is worth about 90k; in Toronto, it’d be worth 250 or so.
  7. rochesterdave
    HRDPS shows an enhanced band moving SW into BUF. I see some credence to this. NWS disco did a hard pass on the storm. Barely even mentioned it. Could’ve the right move. IDK. They could of backed up their lack of interest with an explanation. All they say is, “thermos and qpf issues”. WTF!
  8. rochesterdave
    Canadian has also been incredibly consistent. I’ll eat my hat if NYC gets 6”+
  9. rochesterdave
    Should be a decent storm for everyone. Perhaps with the exception of our far western friends. I liked the NWS for an area wide watch. Seems they aren’t as keen on this storm.
  10. rochesterdave
    For Binghamton
  11. rochesterdave
    .
  12. rochesterdave
    Rochester getting some action
  13. rochesterdave
    Northern Monroe now gets into the action. I’ll believe it when I see it; that area is the most difficult region to forecast in NY. Wouldnt be shocked to see flags extended.
  14. rochesterdave
    This next system could be a repeat of this one. I really hope we don’t have another winter were every model has a blockbuster 5 days out only to lose it at the 48 hr. GTA, I feel your pain. The analogues look decent still. IDK. Quickly losing hope on the Friday thing.
  15. rochesterdave
    So true.
  16. rochesterdave
    Also a great depiction of snowfall in Monroe County. From over 100” in the North to just under 60” near Henrietta. Thats close to 2x. Not quite the drastic difference seen in Erie though.Wow!
  17. rochesterdave
    Hey Matt, this site is clunky as hell. I eventually got a photo shrinking app. It sounds like your photos have too much data. Some camera apps also take pics with a lower data file. Max is 1.95 MB. There might also be a setting on your actual phone to decrease the the size of each pic. Its a pain. And you can’t use normal emojis either. This site is very old.
  18. rochesterdave
    Tug Hill Matt is gonna be pretty popular around here. It’s going to be great to have eyes on the ground up in that region. I might become insanely jealous.
  19. rochesterdave
    Mesoscale coming in with warning amounts for the elevations of WNY
  20. rochesterdave
  21. rochesterdave
    The RGEM 18z paints a big time snowfall for all of W and C NY. This one might still have a trick or two up it’s sleeves. Every other model in the 1-6” range. I don’t care if it sticks around. It’s my best chance at our first inch. It’s always exciting. Any more than that is cake.
  22. rochesterdave
    RGEM and HRDPS both much better looking. We’re still talking only 3-6”, but much better runs. NWS certainly not impressed with valley accumulations.
  23. rochesterdave
    18z NAM coming in a tad more interesting.
  24. rochesterdave
    Tuesday’s storm is now so anemic that it is completely being disregarded and folks are already moving on to the next (unimpressive) threat. It was fun while it lasted. Who knows, maybe Ontario can throw us a little love on the backside. NW flow for a few hours.
  25. rochesterdave
    It’s definitely not looking like a big deal. The NAM has a swath of snow well to the NW (think SW Ontario) and a dry slot over WNY followed by some mixing issues over CNY. An anemic looking mess. Doesnt dig and really scoots along. Looking more like a 2-4” mess as opposed to the 6-10” we were looking at yesterday. All that said, it still has potential. I’m not done tracking this one. Could get a boost from the lakes if it’s cold enough.
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