aldie 22

A little warmer than I thought it would be this morning...I guess cloud cover and wind held temps up. No snow here

Nothing like howling winds on trash day

I know you aren't this dense....or do i?

First thing I wanted to see is a consistent output of moisture...today's GFS began to show that. Let's keep that rolling and I bet good things happen later December

Leesburg 04 told me he misses you posting regularly...me..I'm on the fence but you seem like a good guy who's handy with construction equipment

As with just about anything in life patience is needed for this winter it seems but the old desire for Instant gratification is going to create a lot of shrinkage

Lol I can still finish 10th!!

26 currently

Man that halftime show was hideous...glad I haven't eaten yet

I'm not going to EJ or Ji it but seeing a 384 hour GFS op run with zero precip from start to finish isn't much fun to look at.

anyone still planning to mow this year?

dense fog rolling in here

2.22"

Not gonna lie if this was a snow radar I'd be just a tad excited about what's left. Awesome all day soaker regardless...much needed

I feel bad for anyone who lives in Broadlands...imagine this in winter

Feels good to finally see rain falling again, hoping today performs as advertised.

After today the op gfs is like moms turkey....dry

33/30

Also looks like we want the first snow to be either more than 4" or between 1-2" apparently 2 -3.9" for that first snow is bad bidniz

Wonder how much has changed in the last 13 years found this work done by Ender on here back in 2010...i guess you can file this in the PSU first inch category of analysis. After reading mention of the "mid-Atlantic December 5th rule" I decided to take a look at historical DCA first .5" or greater snowfall dates and the implications for the ensuing winter. Here's what I found: If the first such measurement was in the month of November (11 cases) then the winter averaged 17.1" with 13.7" falling after the first Nov snowfall. If the first .5" or greater fell between 12/1 and 12/15 (17 cases) there Winter averaged 21.3" with 17.9" falling after the first event. If the first .5" was between 12/16 and 12/31 (13 years) then Winter averaged 19.2" with 15.4" falling after that first snowfall. If the first .5" was in the month of January (21 years) then the entire winter only pulled 12.1" with another 9.5" falling after the first snowfall. Looking at the results from the angle of first snowfall depth was somewhat more interesting. If the first snowfall was >4" then the season as a whole averaged 28.3" with 20.1" falling after the first storm. A total of 16 years met this criteria. If the first snow was between 2" and 3.9" then the winter's total averaged at 11.5" with 8.75" falling after the first event. In the 20 years where the first storm was between 1" and 1.9" the winter averaged 15.2" with 13.8" falling after that first snowfall. A total of nine winters saw a first .5" or greater snowfall of between .5" and .9" and those winters only averaged 12.3" for the entire winter. NOTE: I only considered a snowfall the "first snowfall" if the measurement was >=.5". So if .1" fell on 11/17 and .2" fell on 11/22 and .9" fell on 12/3 then as far as this "research" is concerned the first snowfall was the .9" event on 12/3. The average of the entire data set (1945 - 2010) was 16.5".

If I throw the towel how will I wipe the sweat off my head at Christmas?

Shaping up to be another one of those vibe shift days

Same

Just mowed...breezy but warm in the sun. Wondering if it's my last mow of the season