It sends that WAA over us (as in North of you and I) and we get nothing except some late coastal left overs. Notice how it focuses on that same piece of energy that came off Florida as well as the developing system off Cape May.
Models are all over the place this AM but some are not good for me....transfer happens and the dreaded snow hole kicks in. Latest HRRR is one. But other depictions suggest any transfer is very late so hard to forecast.
I certainly would not place any bets on the RAP but like the long range HRRR, it can sniff out trends. RGEM took a step back from its fairly zealous 12Z maps.