Big game hunting during that period. Many of the needed elements are there. Op shows moisture as well. We have missed several similar situations over the last 4 winters I have been back so not assuming the best but watching just the same. There was a situation late last winter where a very sharp trough dug down into Florida and the n/s and s/s both offered juicy options that could have easily turned into a Jan 16 situation. Ended up sunny. Lol.
It is but things are changing with these runs. I was joking about the MA weenies trying to jump on the northern and southern streams literally interacting but its not becoming as far fetched now.
3K has a bit of a different evolution with random LP points (so weak its hard to pin down) but does end up with a deform band over (or very close) training as well.
The N/S wave is slowing down so much, on the 18Z Nam, if we had a few more days of trends there might be rumbles of phasing. The differences at hour 36 amounts to 200-300 miles.