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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. The nam is free on pivotal if interested. And that weakness becomes the Nam's focus for one panel at hour 54 on pivotal and 63 on TT, so I agree it is dirtying the water.
  2. Boo. I missed your post so not trying to take your steam. But yes, I think it is important as it's officially not a reformation per se.
  3. On that point, one thing I just noticed. One of the "lows" in the Atlantic is actual a weakness that comes off the Florida Peninsula at hour 30.
  4. At hour 45 of 18Z, its off the map....now at 0Z 39 its about 50 to 100 miles back to the west and visible.
  5. The N/S vort has slowed down, yet again, on the 0Z Nam. The HRRR has snow starting during rush hour on Thursday.
  6. No offense to anyone but in my opinion, the sref plumes are only helpful when in the middle of a fast changing situation....fringe situations are usually false hope. But seriously, no offense...just what I have learned from experiences. Losetoa's hotdog says it all. LOL. My favorite plume is below:
  7. Big game hunting during that period. Many of the needed elements are there. Op shows moisture as well. We have missed several similar situations over the last 4 winters I have been back so not assuming the best but watching just the same. There was a situation late last winter where a very sharp trough dug down into Florida and the n/s and s/s both offered juicy options that could have easily turned into a Jan 16 situation. Ended up sunny. Lol.
  8. They have a snow depth map which is based on the previous days of course.
  9. It is but things are changing with these runs. I was joking about the MA weenies trying to jump on the northern and southern streams literally interacting but its not becoming as far fetched now.
  10. Nothing makes us all feel better than being called grasshopper. Ha.
  11. It's been a very positive happy hour on all runs.
  12. We still get a decent event there. Actually somewhat similar to the Rgem.
  13. And not a ton of bagginess/reformation to its east.
  14. And I laughed for a min when I read his words! Am still laughing.
  15. 3K has a bit of a different evolution with random LP points (so weak its hard to pin down) but does end up with a deform band over (or very close) training as well.
  16. Well that is a bunch of BS right there. Why does he always get more snow than me?
  17. You just brought your first namming in for a landing.
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